The Premier League’s relegation battle is heating up.
With basement boys Wolves nailed on for the drop, there are two relegation spots to be determined.
Second-bottom Burnley are eight factors from security, however a win and a draw from their final two video games have given them faint hope of survival.
West Ham occupy the ultimate relegation spot in 18th and sit two factors from security with 11 video games left.
However an upturn in outcomes and performances has given Nuno Espirito Santo’s facet hope of reeling in Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and Leeds.
With 5 groups combating to keep away from the ultimate two relegation locations, Sky Sports activities retains monitor on the battle for survival…
What number of factors might be wanted?
Within the final 9 Premier League seasons, groups ending on 36 factors or extra have averted relegation.
Final season, 26 factors would have been sufficient to remain up as an exceptionally poor backside three of Leicester, Ipswich and Southampton all made a right away return to the Championship.
Spurs took benefit of the trio’s weaknesses to give attention to successful the Europa League as they completed a dismal Seventeenth on 38 factors – 13 factors above 18th-placed Leicester.
However that luxurious for Tottenham isn’t there this season as they face the very actual risk of relegation to the second tier of English soccer for the primary time since 1977.
With the groups concerned within the relegation battle considerably stronger than final season, the 40-point mark might nicely be being eyed up.
Solely three groups have been relegated with 40 factors or extra within the 20-team Premier League period – Sunderland (1996/97), Bolton (1997/98) and West Ham (2002/03) – the latter holding the document for the crew relegated with essentially the most factors with 42.
The supercomputer’s relegation predictions…
Final weekend’s outcomes noticed West Ham declare some extent in a goalless residence draw towards Bournemouth to shut the hole to Seventeenth-placed Forest to 2 factors after their last-gasp residence loss to Liverpool.
However the Opta supercomputer nonetheless has the Hammers (70.8 per cent) as favourites to be relegated alongside Burnley (97.8 per cent) and Wolves (100 per cent).
Opta have given Forest a 23.2 per cent likelihood of taking place, with Spurs at simply 4.8 per cent and Leeds at solely 2.2 per cent.
The run-in…
Other than Wolves, the remainder of the underside six all have 11 video games left.
The fixture listing is in Spurs and Leeds’ favour based mostly on the opposition’s league place, with Forest, West Ham and Burnley all having tougher video games left to play.
When are the six-pointers?
There are some essential clashes between relegation rivals within the final three months of the season, with Leeds going through 4 of the underside six of their last six fixtures, together with a final-day journey to West Ham.
Listed below are the six-pointers which might be key in deciding the relegation battle:
- March 22: Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest, stay on Sky Sports activities
- April 11: West Ham vs Wolves
- April 18: Leeds vs Wolves & Forest vs Burnley
- April 25: Wolves vs Tottenham
- Might 2: Leeds vs Burnley
- Might 9: Tottenham vs Leeds
- Might 24: Burnley vs Wolves & West Ham vs Leeds
fifteenth: Leeds
Leeds have misplaced simply one in all their final six league video games as they sit fifteenth and 6 factors off the underside three.
However Daniel Farke’s facet have received simply as soon as on the street within the league – a victory at Wolves in September – including additional significance to their video games at Elland Street, the place they’ve misplaced simply thrice this season (W6 D4).
sixteenth: Tottenham
“It would be the shock of the century. It would be absolutely mind-blowing to think that they could disappear out of this league, but I don’t think they will.”
Even when Gary Neville is assured the Premier League ever-presents won’t be relegated, their kind says in any other case, with Spurs sitting sixteenth and 4 factors from the drop.
Igor Tudor’s facet are on a nine-game winless league run, are but to win in 2026 and are battling a crippling absentee disaster.
Seventeenth: Nottingham Forest
Two factors behind Spurs are Seventeenth-placed Nottingham Forest, who’re on a four-game winless run within the league.
However an encouraging efficiency in defeat to Liverpool underneath new boss Vitor Pereira has given Forest hope of bettering underneath the Portuguese.
18th: West Ham
West Ham seemed doomed initially of the yr earlier than an enormous win at rivals Tottenham kickstarted their survival bid.
The Hammers have misplaced solely as soon as since that victory in north London, giving them hope of avoiding relegation for the primary time since 2011.
nineteenth: Burnley
Burnley look seemingly for a right away return to the Championship.
Scott Parker’s facet are eight factors from security and have solely received one in all their final 18 league video games.
twentieth: Wolves
A 19-game winless begin to the Premier League season primarily sealed Wolves’ destiny.
The Previous Gold are 17 factors from security and wish a miracle to remain within the high flight for a ninth season.