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Good morning. One investor referred to as it “the unlikeliest Trump trade ever”: Ukraine’s sovereign bonds have surged in value as traders guess that the incoming US president will obtain a fast finish to the warfare with Russia and enhance Kyiv’s capability to repay debtors.
At this time, Laura studies on the (much more) delayed rollout of the EU’s much-vaunted biometric border system, and our financial system correspondent explains why increasingly more pretend stuff is trying to succeed in your procuring basket.
How will Donald Trump’s presidency rework world commerce and monetary markets? Pose your inquiries to FT journalists in a dwell Q&A at 4pm CET at this time. You may go away your questions within the remark part below this text.
Border bugs
Travellers don’t have to fret about terribly lengthy queues when getting into the EU for a short time. The bloc’s revamped digital border system in all probability received’t come into drive earlier than subsequent spring, writes Laura Dubois.
Context: The EU has delayed the introduction of its new “Entry Exit System” after Germany, France and the Netherlands mentioned that the required laptop programs weren’t prepared, and trade representatives warned of queues and delays.
The European Fee is now engaged on laws to part within the new system, which would require overseas travellers to register their fingerprints, facial photographs and different private particulars upon arriving. It’s going to additionally enable border police to instantly see whether or not and for a way lengthy persons are allowed to remain within the bloc.
EU officers yesterday mentioned totally different potentialities to introduce the system solely in components for now, in line with a number of folks briefed on the talks.
Choices embrace implementing the brand new controls solely at sure border crossings, as an example beginning with small airports, or checking solely sure teams of travellers, three of the folks mentioned. A 3rd choice could possibly be feeding solely sure information into the system, they added.
“The member states will have a certain amount of leeway in how to implement the different aspects [of the system],” mentioned an EU diplomat. One other diplomat mentioned that these member states that have been prepared may already implement the checks absolutely.
The fee was aiming to current one thing within the coming weeks, for the transition interval to begin in spring 2025, mentioned two of the folks.
However when the system — which resembles border checks within the US which have been in place for years — will probably be absolutely operational in any respect border crossings stays unclear. One choice that has been thought of is a transition interval of six months, in line with the diplomats and officers.
Chart du jour: Payback
Brussels has reinstated its strict debt guidelines post-pandemic. However economists warn that tightening the belt now may hurt funding and weigh on progress, at a time when the EU is already struggling to maintain up with the US.
Faking it
Purchased something on-line recently? It’s possible you’ll need to verify your purchases: Customs authorities have seized report quantities of counterfeit items getting into the EU final yr, writes Paola Tamma.
Officers seized 152mn pretend gadgets final yr both contained in the EU or at its borders — 77 per cent greater than the yr earlier than, in line with figures revealed yesterday. The products have been value a complete of €3.4bn, a leap of 68 per cent in worth.
Context: Customs and regulation enforcement are liable for implementing EU mental property rights each within the inside market and on the bloc’s exterior borders.
The primary perpetrator in terms of pretend items is China, the place 56 per cent of seized gadgets got here from, adopted by Hong Kong and Turkey.
Video games accounted for nearly half of the products, then got here toys, CDs and DVDs. Labels and stickers in addition to packaging supplies made up round 10 per cent of the loot, indicating that unbranded items are being imported into the EU in components to be assembled later — and to keep away from detection.
“These figures highlight the importance of EU-level efforts to tackle counterfeiting but also the increasing challenges to legitimate businesses and the security of EU consumers,” EU financial system commissioner Paolo Gentiloni, who’s liable for customs, instructed the FT.
He additionally referred to as for progress on an EU customs reform, which incorporates measures to raised deal with unlawful commerce and which is presently being negotiated by member states.
The EU’s Mental Property Workplace yesterday mentioned that the steep improve in seized items was the results of a strengthening of enforcement ways, and better seizures particularly contained in the EU inside market. In a single single raid co-ordinated by Europol, greater than 19mn gadgets value an estimated €79mn in whole have been seized.
Most gadgets have been detected in Italy, the place 78 per cent of whole gadgets have been seized, adopted by France, Romania, Spain, the Netherlands, Bulgaria, Germany, Hungary, Belgium and Greece.
What to look at at this time
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Nato secretary-general Mark Rutte travels to Latvia.
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European parliament votes on delay to EU deforestation regulation.
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