Eleanor Ceres discovered she had lung most cancers after the tumor unfold from her chest and started protruding out her neck.
Born and raised in Cape City, South Africa, Ceres has been smoking for over 30 years — and smoking causes almost three-quarters of lung most cancers deaths world wide.
Why wasn’t she recognized earlier? Previous to the tumor’s manifestation, her solely symptom had been a sore arm, which the docs chalked as much as arthritis. By the point she was recognized in April 2024, the most cancers had superior to Stage 4 and was terminal. Medical doctors may solely supply palliative care, easing her ache.
“I’ve got a child around 12 years old. I want to see her grow up and get married and have her own children,” says Ceres, a single mom. “I cry a lot because I’m gonna die and everybody’s gonna stay alive.”
The story of Ceres holds clues to a puzzling concern involving lung most cancers.
It is the deadliest most cancers on the earth, killing 1.8 million folks annually — greater than some other most cancers. However the official statistics counsel that is not the case in sub-Saharan Africa. In truth, based mostly on mortality charges, it appears that evidently lung most cancers is simply an issue in South Africa — the richest nation within the area — and, specifically, the Western Cape — the province with the best and well-resourced well being care system.
However specialists say these statistics conceal the true story: how lung most cancers is being grossly undercounted throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Whereas smoking is barely larger in South Africa in comparison with its neighbors, that is solely half the story, in accordance with Dr. Coenie Koegelenberg, a pulmonologist at Tygerberg Hospital in Cape City. “We have the most accurate stats because we actually diagnose lung cancer,” he says.
Eleanor Ceres reveals the lung tumor that has protruded out of her neck. By the point she was recognized in April 2024, the most cancers had superior to Stage 4 and was terminal. Medical doctors may solely supply palliative care, easing her ache.
Simar Bajaj for NPR
conceal caption
toggle caption
Simar Bajaj for NPR
Africa’s hidden lung most cancers epidemic, as Koegelenberg calls it, is a component of a bigger disaster in world well being, as infectious ailments like tuberculosis and HIV have more and more come below management and non-communicable ailments (NCDs) turn into an existential risk.
Africa’s most cancers burden, for instance, is anticipated to greater than double by 2050, from 370,000 new instances a yr to 940,000 instances. Nevertheless, just one% of world well being funding is allotted to stopping and treating NCDs in low- and middle-income international locations, regardless of accounting for two-third of annual deaths.
Lung most cancers affords a case examine for a way these international locations can succeed or fail in addressing NCDs, provided that this illness can normally be prevented via smoking cessation and even cured with common screening and early remedy.
As a substitute, systemic undercounting and useful resource constraints have allowed the illness to develop unchecked throughout sub-Saharan Africa. “If you don’t report things and put your head in the sand, that doesn’t mean it’s not there,” Koegelenberg says.
Why lung most cancers goes undiagnosed
There are virtually no nerve endings within the lungs, so within the early phases, the most typical symptom of lung most cancers is not any symptom in any respect, says Dr. Keertan Dheda, a pulmonologist at Groote Schuur Hospital.
And when signs do seem, they’re usually fairly generic — chest ache, coughing up blood, and issue respiration. So, docs in sub-Saharan Africa usually misdiagnose lung most cancers sufferers as having tuberculosis, given the excessive burden within the area, Dheda continues.
“Patients would go through the whole treatment regimen for tuberculosis and not really be investigated for lung cancer,” says Lorraine Govender, a nurse and the nationwide supervisor of well being promotion at The Most cancers Affiliation of South Africa. These misplaced six to 9 months of potential remedy may be lethal, since 55% of individuals with lung most cancers die inside a yr, in accordance with Most cancers Analysis UK “The lack of training for health care providers to identify lung cancer is a big problem,” she provides.
Tuberculosis might play an much more direct position, provided that sufferers with this illness are twice as possible to get lung most cancers than these with out — possible as a consequence of this bacterial illness inflicting lung irritation and DNA harm. HIV can also be implicated in lung most cancers since this virus weakens sufferers’ immune programs, leaving them much less capable of fend off respiratory ailments or kill budding most cancers cells, in accordance with Koegelenberg. His personal analysis reveals that, amongst lung most cancers sufferers, these with HIV are typically youthful and have extra superior most cancers than these with out HIV. “Lung cancer is but one spoke in the wheel of colliding epidemics,” Koegelenberg says.
Given these challenges, many lung most cancers sufferers die misdiagnosed, and their actual reason for demise is never identified, given poor infrastructure to certify deaths and their causes. “In Africa, where we don’t have the screening and diagnosis available, we may see deaths from cancer but not know what cancer the patient actually died from,” Govender says, “or maybe have deaths and not know it was cancer.”
Autopsies may assist reply these questions however are hardly ever carried out for spiritual and cultural causes, says Dr. Kelechi Okonta, a cardiothoracic surgeon on the College of Port Harcourt Instructing Hospital in Nigeria. The World Well being Group thus assessed that two-thirds of nations in Africa do not have dependable information on births, deaths, and reason for deaths.
Okonta thinks sub-Saharan Africa is in a catch-22 on lung most cancers, the place systemic undercounting results in restricted information and restricted information permits governments to disregard this illness and the necessity for higher record-keeping. “There is no intentional activity by any government at any level. There is no lung cancer registry, there is no lung cancer group, there is no lung research grant, there is no lung cancer unit, even in the hospitals,” says Okonta. “They think it’s not a problem.”
The opposite aspect of the issue is well timed prognosis. Whereas the Western Cape and South Africa lead the area in recognizing lung most cancers, for many sufferers, it comes too late. Knowledge from the most important hospital within the Western Cape confirmed that, in 2019, 94% of sufferers with lung most cancers had superior, incurable illness on the time of prognosis. There’s at all times an moral dilemma round asking somebody with superior lung most cancers to give up smoking, says Dr. Ayanda Trevor Mnguni, head of the division of inside medication at Khayelitsha District Hospital in South Africa and a pulmonologist. “Once you are actually so far gone, there’s really no point.”

Dr. Ayanda Trevor Mnguni is the pinnacle of inside medication at Khayelitsha District Hospital, the place he treats lung most cancers sufferers. He says that the prognosis virtually at all times comes so late within the development of the most cancers that solely palliative care may be provided to alleviate ache.
Simar Bajaj for NPR
conceal caption
toggle caption
Simar Bajaj for NPR
Skyrocketing smoking charges throughout sub-Saharan Africa means the lung most cancers drawback is prone to worsen, as tobacco corporations goal the area to exchange falling gross sales within the West. Particularly in danger are communities like Khayelitsha, a racially segregated township on the outskirts of Cape City, as tobacco corporations usually flood poor areas with low cost cigarettes and aggressive advertising and marketing. It is a sprawling maze of makeshift properties — of cardboard, wooden and corrugated metallic — over twice as dense as Manhattan, with an estimated 2.4 million residents.
At Khayelitsha District Hospital, sufferers in blue robes frequently step exterior to have a smoke. Mbulelo Shicani, a lung most cancers affected person right here, says that he buys a pack of cigarettes for 10 rand, or 50 cents, and that these costs have really been coming down. Native store homeowners additionally by no means flip away prospects since they’re too younger, Shicani continues.
“We obviously diagnose lung cancer a lot better compared to the rest of the country and the rest of the continent,” Mnguni says, provided that the Western Cape has the strongest well being care system in South Africa and maybe all of sub-Saharan Africa. “But that doesn’t mean much if smoking rates continue to rise,” he says, and the illness is nearly at all times so superior that the one choice is palliative care.
and lung most cancers sufferers solely obtain palliative care upon prognosis” — For those in Khayelitsha, they’re almost always facing such advanced disease that “we do not even refer them to the oncologist,” Mnguni says.
Why screening isn’t an easy solution
One way to find tumors and treat them early is with lung cancer screening, especially given that pharmaceutical companies, such as AstraZeneca and Chinese firm BGI Genomics, see Africa as a key region for innovation and investment. So, in 2019, Koegelenberg and Dheda created the first lung cancer screening guidelines in sub-Saharan Africa, and Discovery, the largest private health-insurance provider in South Africa, started covering screening several months ago, Koegelenberg says.
That, however, would only serve South Africa’s private health care system, which caters to a small, wealthier minority with far greater resources. Dheda openly acknowledges that lung cancer screening isn’t practical for the 84% of South Africans in the public system, or even most other countries in sub-Saharan Africa, “though we needs to be screening and we all know we needs to be screening,” he says.
Even if there were enough CT scanners to screen high-risk individuals, there wouldn’t be capacity to biopsy nodules and treat all these cases, given budget shortfalls and rapidly growing waitlists. “It is unethical to do the scan if there’s an abnormality, and also you really cannot do something about it,” says Dr. Sameera Dalvie, an oncologist at Groote Schuur Hospital.
The one choice, as Mnguni sees it, is public well being consciousness with complete anti-smoking campaigns and rules. He factors out that Shicani and most of the people in Khayelitsha do not know that smoking can result in lung most cancers, so governments should not take consciousness with no consideration. “Once people end up with cancer, unfortunately, you’re not going to do well,” Mnguni says. “For most limited resource countries, the best bet is to prevent people from getting the disease.”
This too is simpler mentioned than achieved, given strain from tobacco corporations and the necessity for larger social help to assist folks handle dependancy. “Many people view smoking as a coping mechanism,” says Salomé Meyer, one of many leaders of South Africa’s Most cancers Alliance. “What are you going to offer in the place of smoking when communities are living in stress?”
Change could also be on the way in which
Regardless of these challenges, Meyer is hopeful concerning the future. South African lawmakers are contemplating a new smoking legislation that may ban all tobacco and e-cigarette promoting, in addition to increase penalties to fifteen years of jail time for companies that promote tobacco to kids or at cut-rate low costs. Moreover, current analysis from Vietnam means that lung most cancers screening is likely to be possible with chest x-rays and synthetic intelligence, which is a extra real looking, scalable choice for sub-Saharan Africa, Koegelenberg says.
Finally, change hinges on higher information assortment, from complete most cancers registries to a common demise registration system, Okonta says. And that may must be proactively pushed by the healthcare system as an alternative of the federal government — to be able to break the catch-22. “With adequate record keeping and follow-up of patients, we can solve this,” Okonta provides. “Maybe the government will start paying attention to lung cancer.”
“We must stop hiding behind, ‘Oh, it’s not going to be affordable,'” Meyer says, since the price of inaction is way too excessive. “We must just do it.”
Simar Bajaj is an American journalist who has beforehand written about lung most cancers for The New York Occasions, Nationwide Geographic, STAT, NBC Information, and Scientific American. He’s the recipient of the International Press Affiliation award for Science Story of the Yr, the Nationwide Academies award for Excellence in Science Communications, and the AAAS Kavli Science Journalism Award.