Contemporary from a ten/1 winner in midweek, our betting skilled Jones Is aware of unleashes his Premier League perception throughout the ultimate spherical of matches.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea, Sunday 4pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Chelsea are the susceptible ones within the remaining day race for the Champions League.
Primarily based on their gentle underbelly away from house, profitable simply one in all their final 10 Premier League video games, it is a good spot for Nottingham Forest.
A criticism of Enzo Maresca this season has been the predictability of Chelsea’s play and that’s extra obvious while you take away Nicholas Jackson from the equation as he does carry a little bit of shock and directness to what Chelsea are attempting to serve up. Forest’s defensive duo of Nikola Milenkovic and Murillo will fancy their possibilities of one other shutout.
Forest to win to nil is 5/1 with Sky Guess and it is a wager that is landed in seven of their final 15 Premier League house video games towards the likes of Man Metropolis, Man Utd, Spurs, Crystal Palace and Brighton. It is price a nibble.
However one of the best wager lies within the pictures market.
In case you exclude the relegated golf equipment, solely Brentford and West Ham concede extra house pictures than Nottingham Forest. Marc Cucurella has been one in all Chelsea’s most constant operators all season and he comes into this having a shot in 22 of his final 31 appearances, averaging 0.90 pictures per-90 throughout the entire season.
In a sport Chelsea must win, he’ll be to the fore of their attacking course of and is 10/11 with Sky Guess to have no less than one shot.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Marc Cucurella to have +1 pictures (10/11 with Sky Guess)
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 4pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Over the previous 10 seasons, the ultimate day of the Premier League season has averaged 3.41 targets per sport – 87 per cent of these matches have featured over 1.5 targets and 65 per cent have delivered over 2.5 targets. Over these 10 years, the common aim on the ultimate matchday will increase 0.6 per match from the general common whole aim rely per match. That is a giant spike.
Groups usually tend to play with a bit extra freedom in a no-pressure atmosphere. It is attack-minded soccer to the fore. And this sport simply screams a mad scoreline.
Ultimate-day video games have the tendency to enter overdrive by way of a scoreline. Bear in mind Crystal Palace 5-3 Bournemouth in 2019? Or Tottenham 5-4 Leicester in 2018? How about Hull Metropolis 1-7 Tottenham in 2017? And there was relegated Southampton drawing 4-4 Liverpool final season.
On the ultimate day it might probably pay to play the large traces, so over 5.5 targets at 7/2 with Sky Guess is actually a runner.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-3
Manchester United vs Aston Villa, Sunday 4pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Villa are ending the season like title contenders and it is a fixture despatched from heaven for them. You could not hand-pick a extra welcoming host.
Unai Emery has received Villa so well-drilled. They’ve received seven of their final eight Premier League video games with their solely defeat being a last-minute aim at Manchester Metropolis. The underlying course of has been one of the best in the complete division over that stretch, particularly in defence the place their 0.85 anticipated targets towards per 90 is unmatched.
Manchester United are assured their lowest end since promotion to the top-flight in 1975 and the house followers will probably be getting ready the tomatoes for the lap of honour on the finish of the ultimate sport.
Villa to win to nil at 9/4 with Sky Guess has an amazing likelihood.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
Solely as soon as in Premier League historical past has a staff entered the ultimate day in a Champions League place and did not qualify.
Newcastle will probably be there with a win. A degree will probably be sufficient if Forest vs Chelsea ends in a draw or Villa fail to win.
Eddie Howe’s staff are a dependable bunch at house, profitable their final six at St James’ Park, scoring 20 targets.
In the event that they win this, will probably be their most factors (41) and most wins (13) at house in a Premier League marketing campaign since 2003. It is laborious to see something however the 1/3 with Sky Guess touchdown – however how can we get a palatable worth? The goalscorer market appears the place to be with Sandro Tonali the standout at 11/2 to attain anytime. He has scored three in his final 5 house video games because the Toon devoted do appear to encourage him.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
Fulham vs Manchester Metropolis, Sunday 4pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
After the season Manchester Metropolis have had, is trusting them at 4/7 with Sky Guess to win away from house actually a sensible determination?
Metropolis have received only one away sport towards groups presently within the high 12, which was a 2-0 win at Chelsea. And Fulham have a formidable house report this season towards groups presently within the high 9, profitable 5 of their eight video games.
That is formally their greatest Premier League season so the market is disrespecting them barely with 4/1 with Sky Guess on provide for the house win.
I will meet within the center and again the draw at 16/5 with Sky Guess as a degree will probably be sufficient for Metropolis of their Champions League qualification pursuit attributable to their superior aim distinction over Villa.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Brighton, Sunday 4pm
Spurs at larger than 3/1 with Sky Guess is an actual tempter. The market has gone fully overboard with the hangover issue from midweek and is providing up very tantalising costs on the house win.
Spurs after all have misplaced 21 of 37 Premier League video games however this simply could be an even bigger sport for Ange Postecoglou than what the market is predicting.
You get the impression he actually needs to maintain this job to try to construct this Spurs staff. As a supervisor he is not going to get a possibility like this anyplace else with the infrastructure and spending energy on provide at Spurs – all the pieces is ready there behind the scenes to be a daily challenger.
So, it is in his curiosity to verify his staff end the season with a little bit of constructive momentum to take into these talks with Daniel Levy.
And Brighton need not win this match. A degree could be sufficient to complete eighth which supplies them an out of doors likelihood of Convention League qualification. Brighton’s defensive report nonetheless worries me too, conceding 16 targets of their final eight video games to an anticipated targets towards technique of 1.8 per sport which is borderline relegation ranges of type.
With a high-scoring draw a giant runner, the double likelihood on Spurs at 5/4 with Sky Guess appears a giant worth.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Spurs double likelihood (5/4 with Sky Guess)
Bournemouth vs Leicester, Sunday 4pm
This has the potential to go down an excessive appropriate rating route, such is the additional prospects of targets on the ultimate day.
Extremely although, Bournemouth have solely scored a couple of aim in simply one in all their final 13 house matches, which tells you all the pieces you’ll want to find out about why they’ve fallen quick of their play to make European soccer. There was an enormous underperformance at play when assessing their anticipated targets output although, scoring 13 targets within the final 13 when their anticipated targets determine is at 21.8.
This could be the sport the place they bring about these metrics nearer collectively and provides the Foxes a little bit of a battering.
The -2 handicap for Bournemouth makes enchantment at 9/4 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 5-1
Ipswich vs West Ham, Sunday 4pm
Being mistaken is a part of the job. It is one thing anybody on this line of labor should settle for.
Nonetheless, tipping Leif Davis to be the highest assister within the Premier League in the beginning of the season at 100/1 turned out to be a brand new degree of mistaken. Very similar to Ipswich on the entire, he has been so disappointing in making an attempt to make the step-up after ripping by means of League One and the Championship.
He has bagged simply two assists this season however there have been indicators of life from him at Leicester final weekend from an attacking standpoint, having two pictures and a aim dominated out. He’s 9/4 with Sky Guess to attain or help in a sport that must be stuffed with goalmouth motion.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-3
Southampton vs Arsenal, Sunday 4pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Your thoughts at all times have to be wanting forward on this sport and one of many angles I am most enthusiastic about backing subsequent season is Declan Rice’s whole targets output.
He might turn out to be one in all Arsenal’s high goalscorers subsequent season taking part in on this attack-minded No 8 position and I would be a assured backer at any worth for him to enhance on the overall of 4 he is bagged within the Premier League this season. He’s 7/2 with Sky Guess to attain for the third league sport operating at St Mary’s.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3
Wolves vs Brentford, Sunday 4pm
We noticed a bit snapshot of Vitor Pereira not holding again in criticising his gamers in public following the 4-2 defeat to Crystal Palace. He is executed some wonderful work since becoming a member of however doubts stay about whether or not he can rein in his flamable nature to make his tenure one that may work in the long term.
It is laborious to see how Wolves can cease Brentford scoring a number of targets on this one.
The over 3.5 targets line appears engaging at 5/4 with Sky Guess, as does Yoane Wissa scoring at 11/8. The striker has landed for punters on this market in 5 of his final six video games and has proven this season that there are few higher round than him in entrance of aim within the Premier League. He can get his twentieth aim of the marketing campaign.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-3
Jones Is aware of’ greatest wager…
- 1pt double on: Marc Cucurella +1 pictures & Spurs double likelihood (3/1 with Sky Guess)
P+L = +18.87
Sky Sports activities to point out 215 dwell PL video games from subsequent season
From subsequent season, Sky Sports activities’ Premier League protection will improve from 128 matches to no less than 215 video games completely dwell.
And 80 per cent of all televised Premier League video games subsequent season are on Sky Sports activities.