After touchdown his 11/1 greatest guess treble final weekend, our soccer betting skilled Jones Is aware of is again to offer his perception on each Premier League sport.
West Ham vs Chelsea, Saturday 12.30pm
Do not be fooled by Chelsea’s document of successful their final 4 Premier League away video games, the place they’ve scored 12 targets. This staff are nonetheless miles away from being thought-about a top-four contender based mostly on the underlying numbers behind these performances – particularly the 2 wins this season at Wolves and Bournemouth.
The mixture rating might learn 7-2 to Chelsea throughout these video games however the anticipated targets numbers painted an image of two.51-3.74 – an enormous overperformance and one which makes their worth for an away win at Evens with Sky Guess look ripe for taking over.
West Ham have greater than sufficient about them throughout their frontline to start out punishing this Chelsea defence for the high-quality probabilities they’re providing up. Residence win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Aston Villa vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
After what we noticed final weekend within the Premier League with the excessive card counts this fixture has the potential to comply with go well with. It is a notoriously card-heavy sport involving two golf equipment that do not like each other a lot in what’s a creating derby.
Throughout the final eight fixtures between the 2, the per-game bookings factors common is available in at a whopping 67 factors.
That instantly makes the Evens on provide with Sky Guess for 60 or extra bookings factors (10 for a yellow, 25 for a crimson) a runner, particularly when Villa have drawn 15 yellows of their final 4 matches throughout all competitions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Fulham vs Newcastle, Saturday 3pm
Fulham have a wretched document in opposition to Newcastle, dropping the final six conferences whereas having a participant despatched off in three of the final seven. They’ve additionally scored simply twice in these seven earlier clashes, blanking on 5 events.
I might be shocked in the event that they failed to attain once more, although, based mostly on Newcastle’s defensive output this season.
Sure, Eddie Howe’s males are unbeaten having taken 10 factors from a potential 12, however they’ve confronted a mean of 1.63 of anticipated targets in opposition to per 90 together with averaging 16.5 photographs confronted per 90. Solely two groups have confronted extra photographs – and the Toon have had a considerably form opening set of fixtures.
Popping out on prime when the margins are high quality in matches is not a sustainable manner of choosing up factors so I might anticipate some regression with their outcomes earlier than too lengthy.
It might come right here, the place Fulham are a tempting 9/5 with Sky Guess for victory.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Leicester vs Everton, Saturday 3pm
Leicester stay a staff I am eager on opposing regardless of constructive outcomes in opposition to Tottenham and Crystal Palace.
They’ve misplaced the anticipated targets battle, shot rely and nook race in all 4 of their Premier League video games. Their underlying metrics have been dismal.
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Leicester supervisor Steve Cooper explains why his membership have sought clarification over the VAR resolution to permit a Crystal Palace purpose final Saturday – a call he describes as an ‘terrible human error’.
If Everton cannot get a consequence right here then Sean Dyche could have some big inquiries to reply.
Nonetheless, if his staff assault like they’ve accomplished within the final two matches, they need to win this match – and look a guess with the chances on provide.
They’ve created seven large probabilities throughout their final two video games to a wholesome anticipated targets determine of two.10. The dynamic of Iliman Ndiaye, Dwight McNeil and Dominic Calvert-Lewin appeared fairly thrilling in ahead areas in opposition to Bournemouth and Aston Villa.
They need to show too sizzling for Leicester to deal with, with the away win at 8/5 with Sky Guess wanting very beneficiant.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Everton to beat Leicester (8/5 with Sky Guess – a part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
Liverpool vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Andoni Iraola goes locations as a supervisor however backing this Bournemouth staff to beat a top-six aspect has turn out to be an costly pastime.
They’ve now didn’t win any of 12 Premier League video games vs final season’s top-six – successful simply two factors from a potential 36. They are going to head to Anfield as vigorous outsiders and make life fiddly for Arne Slot’s males however they’re inconceivable to fancy to get a consequence – even when the 8/1 for an away win sounds juicy.
Discovering a strategy to get Liverpool onside is hard at such prohibitive odds, however including Dominik Szoboszlai to attain into the combination is an attention-grabbing tactic at 9/2 with Sky Guess.
He netted his first purpose of the season in midweek vs AC Milan and was genuinely excellent together with his all-around sport in becoming a member of the entrance three. He is had 10 photographs in 5 video games underneath Slot and I am anticipating his purpose output to extend this season.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Southampton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
If the Southampton that performed the ultimate 60 minutes in opposition to Manchester United flip up, making a case for them to win at 6/5 with Sky Guess goes to be a troublesome ask for many who nonetheless place confidence in Russel Martin. It is a large one for him.
Hope might spring everlasting for Saints within the type of Tyler Dibling, whose first-half efficiency in opposition to United was vastly eye-catching.
What obtained my punting juices flowing concerning his attacking output was the way in which he moved and drew fouls like Jack Grealish. He received 4 fouls in 63 minutes of motion together with his reverse quantity Diogo Dalot racking up a complete foul rely of 4.
That’s an thrilling angle that we needs to be able to exploiting within the fouls markets, with opposition left-back for Ipswich Leif Davis in focus right here. He is made at the least one foul in his final seven begins for Ipswich and is 6/4 with Sky Guess to make two or extra on this one.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brentford are precisely the kind of opposition Ange Postecoglou would not want proper now.
In case you have been cooking up a recipe for a staff to bother Tottenham on the minute, Brentford have the proper elements in that the house crowd will anticipate a win and the Bees are a superb low-block defensive staff who’re a large menace from set-pieces.
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Highlights of the Carabao Cup third spherical tie between Coventry Metropolis and Tottenham Hotspur.
Spurs have now conceded 13 targets from corners this calendar 12 months and Brentford are extremely inventive and harmful from such conditions having created the second highest quantity of anticipated targets (15.4) from set-pieces within the Premier League final season.
This has all of the hallmarks of a nervy, irritating type of fixture for Spurs if they do not rating early and I am very eager on taking over targets on the costs.
The market has this sport producing 3.2 targets which appears to be like excessive based mostly on Tottenham’s issues creating high quality probabilities of late. I might fortunately swim in opposition to the targets tide with the underneath 3.5 line at 4/6 with Sky Guess wanting good.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Beneath 3.5 targets (8/11 with Sky Guess – a part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
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Talking on the Kiyan Prince Basis golf day, former Tottenham supervisor Harry Redknapp backs Ange Postecoglou to succeed on the membership however admits he has put himself underneath strain together with his feedback about successful trophies in his second season.
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Who would you moderately have accountable for your membership: Oliver Glasner or Erik ten Hag?
In case you stated Oliver Glasner, congratulations.
It is arduous to get Crystal Palace’s 4-0 battering of United final season out of my considering when assessing this sport as Glasner’s soccer bewildered and perplexed United, who have been admittedly with out some large hitters.
Saturday twenty first September 5:00pm
Kick off 5:30pm
Regardless of United delivering for us final week at Southampton, it is arduous to be too enthusiastic on their probabilities when priced up as 13/10 favourites with Sky Guess. The primary half displaying was – once more – alarming.
As soon as they obtained the opening purpose there was solely going to be one winner however that is extra to do with how Southampton folded than Ten Hag’s staff getting right into a groove. The jury remains to be out on whether or not this staff is shifting ahead and I am blissful to aspect with Glasner to showcase his tactical nous over his counterpart.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brighton’s offside line underneath Fabian Hurzeler fascinates me. It is a defence that has caught 31 gamers offsides in six video games, leading to a per sport common of 5.1, with Wolves caught offside 9 instances in midweek.
It is such a brave, aggressive strategy to play but when opposition groups get the ultimate cross proper it does go away Brighton open to conceding high-quality probabilities on their purpose.
That is why I am blissful to mix an offsides and a Forest targets play by the Construct A Guess perform on Sky Guess. You will get 6/4 with Sky Guess on each groups scoring and Forest being caught offside three or extra instances.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester Metropolis vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Arsenal’s worth for the win to nil has been seducing me all week ever since I clapped eyes on it.
That 13/2 with Sky Guess is simply too large to cross up.
It is a staff which have received 10 of their 11 Premier League video games away from dwelling in 2024, conceding simply three targets alongside the way in which. A staff with such energy, organisation and sophistication who’re rated with only a 22 per cent probability of victory to win a soccer match appears flawed – even in opposition to a juggernaut like Manchester Metropolis.
Sunday twenty second September 4:00pm
Kick off 4:30pm
A juggernaut, albeit, that’s regressing, particularly in defence as groups can expose them on the counter-attack. Brentford and Inter Milan have confirmed us this in current days nevertheless it’s been taking place for some time and was the explanation why Actual Madrid knocked them out of the Champions League final marketing campaign.
Brentford countered with such ease final Saturday particularly within the first half, once they might have been 3-0 up. Metropolis conceded 5 or extra photographs on track for simply the second time in a house sport underneath Pep Guardiola and Brentford even received the possession battle earlier than the break.
After which Inter had 10 photographs within the first half in midweek as they discovered it very straightforward to interrupt by on the Metropolis backline through some intelligent passing and driving runs. They grew to become the primary opposing aspect to have 10 or extra photographs within the first half of a Champions League sport on the Etihad since Monaco in February 2017.
Arsenal are ruthless sufficient at each ends of the pitch to take benefit and the Evens on provide for them to keep away from defeat is the worth name, as is the 13/2 win to nil worth.
Assertion victory, ahoy.
