Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of is again to offer his perception on each Premier League recreation and suggestions up an 11/1 weekend treble.
Southampton vs Manchester United, Saturday 12.30pm
Russell Martin’s soccer within the Premier League is struggling some teething issues.
They’ve appeared snug in possession and artistic with build-up play that has resulted in massive spells of Saints trying like a Premier League facet, but their dangerous technique of taking part in out from the again is costing them badly.
They’re the 8/13 favourites with Sky Wager for the drop and one factor Manchester United are excellent at beneath Erik ten Hag is swatting apart the lesser lights of the Premier League. When he wants a end result, one normally drops for the Dutchman.
In 20 away video games in opposition to groups that completed the season within the backside half, Manchester United have received 14, drawn 4 and misplaced simply twice. In the meantime, their file in opposition to relegated groups on the street is six wins from six matches, conceding simply two targets. United to win and beneath 3.5 targets comes out at 6/4 with Sky Wager – it ought to go shut.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Brighton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
Are Brighton the actual deal? The markets are screaming for them after three video games of the Fabian Hurzeler period.
They’re simply as more likely to end within the high 4 as Manchester United in response to the outright odds (9/2 with Sky Wager) and have been backed into 13/8 for a top-six end, having been a lot greater firstly of the marketing campaign.
No European soccer is actually of their favour – as is the array of attacking choices throughout their ahead line, like Kaoru Mitoma, who appears overpriced to attain at 2/1 with Sky Wager in a winnable recreation for Brighton.
The Japanese star appears again to his better of the 22/23 season when he averaged virtually a objective each different recreation within the Premier League on the Amex. He can hearth in a house win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Crystal Palace vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm
I’ve but to see any exhausting proof to counsel that Leicester could have sufficient firepower to keep away from relegation this season.
They’ve created simply 1.33 price of anticipated targets from open play of their three fixtures to date and appeared woefully in need of concepts in opposition to Aston Villa final weekend regardless of what appeared a nervy 2-1 scoreline for Villa. It was way more snug than that.
In the meantime, Oliver Glasner ought to be capable of get Palace rolling in the best route now the switch window is shut. Palace have come out the opposite facet in higher form than many predicted.
And I used to be very impressed by their second-half efficiency at Chelsea the place the introduction of forgotten man Cheick Doucoure fully revitalised their midfield.
He and Adam Wharton might develop a really good partnership in there – one that ought to cause them to a routine house win on this one the place a Palace victory and beneath 3.5 targets at 13/8 with Sky Wager is price a re-assessment.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Fulham vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm
West Ham left-back Emerson Palmieri might have his arms full with a revitalised Adama Traore down the Fulham proper flank. Opposition left-backs are all the time answerable for playing cards and fouls when the value is correct up in opposition to the highly effective winger.
Traore has drawn 64 playing cards from the opposition within the Premier League, whereas he and Kenny Tete, who performs at right-back, have already drawn eight fouls between them of their three appearances this season.
Costs just like the 6/4 with Sky Wager for Emerson to make two fouls together with the 9/2 for him to be carded are each dwell. For those who mix each you may conjure up a 7/1 shot by way of the BuildABet perform with Sky Wager.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Nottingham Forest’s defensive course of beneath Nuno Espirito Santo deserves extra respect than the markets are giving them right here. Within the 24 video games since his appointment, solely Man Metropolis, Arsenal and Liverpool have a greater anticipated goals-against output than Forest (1.24 per 90) and so they’ve solely conceded two or extra targets in 4 of their final 17 matches throughout all competitions.
I can belief them to maintain this recreation tight.
Liverpool have performed with higher management and fewer chaos beneath Arne Slot which is seeing their first-half attacking output endure. They’ve fired simply 3-5-4 first-half photographs in video games in opposition to Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United and have overperformed their anticipated targets output earlier than the break.
The whole targets line is projected to be over three on this encounter, which appears excessive, however it’s the primary half beneath 1.5 targets line at 8/11 with Sky Wager that appears essentially the most safe strategy to play the anti-goals angle.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Below 1.5 first-half targets (8/11 with Sky Wager – a part of 11/1 weekend treble!)
Man Metropolis vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Going by how relentless and targeted Manchester Metropolis have been firstly of the season, this could as soon as once more flip right into a predictable betting warmth the place brief costs like Metropolis to win and Erling Haaland to attain are more likely to cop.
We have to get artistic to seek out an angle and the Brentford offside line at two or extra offsides at 10/11 with Sky Wager stands an excellent likelihood. The Bees have been flagged offside 20 occasions within the final 5 conferences with Metropolis, with the ‘two or extra’ line touchdown on every event. They do get the ball ahead shortly and Metropolis’s excessive line does imply offside alternatives for the opposition are all the time on supply.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Aston Villa vs Everton, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Jarrad Branthwaite is turning into a greater participant each recreation he misses for Everton, who’ve been with out him six occasions because the begin of final season and have misplaced 5 of these, conceding a median of two.5 targets per recreation. With the noise turning into as loud as ever round Goodison Park, it is a nightmare fixture for Sean Dyche.
Aston Villa received 12 of their 18 video games in opposition to groups that completed twelfth or decrease final season and have been unbeaten in all 10 Premier League house video games in opposition to the underside half, profitable eight.
The very fact Ollie Watkins was given a while to recharge over the worldwide break would not bode nicely for Everton both. The Villa striker has failed to attain in his final seven appearances in all competitions, lacking six large possibilities. That does not fear me, although – he is too deadly a finisher to let that run go on an excessive amount of longer. Villa to win and Watkins to attain at 7/4 with Sky Wager appears a winner in ready.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Ollie Watkins to attain in an Aston Villa win (7/4 with Sky Wager – a part of weekend 11/1 treble)
Bournemouth vs Chelsea, Saturday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
That is shaping as much as be a energetic watch. Chelsea appeared crimson sizzling going ahead at occasions of their 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace however equally went lacking at key factors of the match which restricted them from turning their forthright play right into a victory.
In the meantime, Bournemouth did not win any of their 12 Premier League video games vs final season’s high six – profitable simply two factors from a attainable 36 – and have not appeared as watertight this season, conceding 25 photographs on the right track of their 4 video games throughout all competitions. Targets ought to be on the menu with anytime goalscorer costs like 15/8 with Sky Wager on Antoine Semenyo and a pair of/1 on Noni Madueke each probably to offer punters a good run.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Tottenham vs Arsenal, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
As a consequence of Arsenal’s choice points in midfield, with no Martin Odegaard or Declan Rice, I can see Mikel Arteta treating this recreation like a Champions League knockout recreation away from house in a partisan environment. Getting out of there with a degree will probably be seen as end result.
Will probably be low-risk soccer with the goal of silencing the house crowd at each alternative, and I am assured in Arsenal with the ability to frustrate Spurs based mostly on their spectacular street file. Arsenal have taken 28 factors from a attainable 30 away from house in 2024 and are but to path on the street this yr. It is a defence that has conceded simply three targets in these 10 video games.
The way in which to frustrate an Ange Postecoglou facet is to defend in numbers and block the overloads out extensive as Spurs aren’t very streetwise at making an attempt to interrupt down low-block defences. They’re turning into a crew that posts numerous photographs however their anticipated targets return would not fairly match up – that factors to a difficulty with creating high-quality possibilities.
I believe Arsenal can ship this recreation down a low-scoring avenue with the 11/8 with Sky Wager on beneath 2.5 targets representing some nice worth.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Below 2.5 targets (11/8 with Sky Wager – a part of 7/1 weekend treble!)
Wolves vs Newcastle, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
The anticipated intense midfield battle is the place my betting instincts have taken me for this one.
Newcastle’s trio of Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton and probably Sandro Tonali are all in-your-face sort of midfielders that make a excessive quantity of fouls. For those who whole up their fouls-committed averages from final season they’re making 5.8 fouls per 90 between them. Even this season, Joelinton and Guimaraes have made 18 fouls mixed within the Premier League.
I am anticipating comparable averages for the journey to Molineux the place I just like the look of Wolves midfielder Mario Lemina’s costs to be fouled up in opposition to that fouling frenzy of a Newcastle midfield. He is drawn 15 fouls in his final 14 begins for Wolves, together with two within the 1-1 draw with Forest final weekend, so the 7/2 with Sky Wager for him to be fouled twice appears a runner.