Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of is again to supply extra Premier League perception as he hunts down the worth within the markets.
Arsenal vs Everton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!
For these like me who like nothing greater than backing video games to go below a goal-line, it is time to enter hibernation mode for the winter. The Premier League will not be a worthwhile place for you.
Over targets backers are cashing in but once more on this bonkers league. It has been a purpose fest because the worldwide break.
Over the previous 39 video games, the common targets per sport has spiked considerably to three.47 per sport and over 2.5 targets bettors have efficiently cashed in 68 per cent of video games.
Even the 1.5 targets line is being battered by targets in that 35 of these 39 video games have seen two or extra targets scored.
Everton, the below 2.5 kings, are actually seeing the over 2.5 purpose line land because the back-to-back 4-0 appropriate scores have proven. Conserving targets and each groups scoring in your radar when the costs are proper is recommendation to take very critically and it is a runner right here at 7/4 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Liverpool vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!
Liverpool have managed to maintain 4 consecutive clear sheets at Anfield, proscribing the German champions Bayer Leverkusen, Champions League winners Actual Madrid and Premier League winners Manchester Metropolis within the course of.
Spectacular.
However regardless of Arne Slot’s apparent abilities in constructing a formidable defence, I am seeing proof that they’re overperforming barely. Girona had their moments, creating 1.21 price of anticipated targets and hitting the goal 5 instances and Newcastle discovered a approach to Liverpool’s purpose on three events.
We merely should take a constructive stance on Fulham on the costs on provide right here primarily based on their scoring prowess of discovering the web in every of their final 16 video games throughout all competitions, together with in opposition to Arsenal and Man Metropolis.
Each groups to attain and over 2.5 targets at 11/10 with Sky Guess seems too huge to go up.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Each groups to attain & over 2.5 targets (11/10 with Sky Guess)
Newcastle vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!
Conor Coady and Jannik Vestergaard up in opposition to Alexander Isak seems a mismatch of epic proportions.
Certainly the Newcastle striker, whose motion and guile utterly bamboozled Virgil van Dijk within the Toon’s final dwelling sport, goes to show too sharp and too lethal for the ageing Leicester central pairing to deal with.
Isak comes into the sport with six targets in his final seven begins to his title and is the one dependable finisher in a considerably inconsistent Newcastle frontline. Hold it easy and simply maintain Isak in your facet if making a bet on this sport.
The three/1 first goalscorer, 4/1 for a brace and 16/1 for a hat-trick are all stay runners.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Wolves vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
Huge sport.
And when the strain rises on Gary O’Neil he likes to play a low block with a again 5, even in opposition to his relegation rivals. It labored in opposition to Southampton and though they gave up an enormous quantity of territory at West Ham, they performed with way more cohesion in that 2-1 defeat.
This type lends itself to absorbing strain and conceding corners – one thing Wolves specialize in. They’ve misplaced the nook depend race in 13 of their final 15 Premier League video games, together with shedding it 11-0 at West Ham on Monday.
In whole, they’ve received simply 44 corners this season and conceded 120.
In the meantime, Ipswich do play with width and have received precisely 5 corners per sport this season – that common needs to be sufficient to win this race the place they’re a really juicy 7/4 with Sky Guess to win extra corners than Wolves.
It is best guess of the weekend materials.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Ipswich to win extra corners than Wolves (7/4 with Sky Guess)
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa, Saturday 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Three wins on the spin for Aston Villa has obtained their season transferring in the best path and I am liking the look of them to edge this one.
Granted, this Forest staff have conceded simply 18 Premier League targets this season – solely Liverpool and Arsenal have conceded fewer. And that’s backed up by the efficiency information with Forest solely delivery 22 huge possibilities to their opposition – the joint-fewest together with Arsenal. So, if Villa are to win, splitting stakes on a 1-0 and 2-1 win is smart with Sky Guess.
Each these groups are drawing a excessive quantity of playing cards this season – Forest 3.13 per sport and Villa 3.00 per sport – with numerous that motion coming in central areas. For instance, an opposition central midfielder has been booked in 11 of Forest’s final 12 matches in all competitions with Morgan Gibbs-White very streetwise at making a foul look worse than it’s – he is been liable for getting 16 gamers booked because the begin of final season.
Morgan Rogers at 9/2 with Sky Guess for a card is the strategy of assault as he is been booked 4 instances already this season and will probably be roaming in that central space.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Brighton vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6!
When it seems like a draw, walks like a draw, quacks like a draw, then it is most likely a draw.
And it turns into an attention-grabbing betting angle when that consequence is priced up because the outsider of the three at 11/4 with Sky Guess. Relating to attracts these two groups are excellent at them. Crystal Palace have drawn a Premier League-high seven video games this season and Brighton have drawn six – the joint second-most video games.
Six of the final 10 conferences have additionally ended 1-1. Hold the draw in your facet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester Metropolis vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6!
The fallen-giant derby.
Each groups are on their lowest factors whole after 15 Premier League video games.
This sharp decline of Manchester Metropolis is changing into a maddening factor to unpack with Pep Guardiola’s insistence that Metropolis are taking part in effectively whereas performing uncharacteristically hapless in attempting to repair it’s definitely including to the circus of all of it.
The defensive numbers behind Metropolis’s outcomes of seven defeats in 10 are extraordinary – a sackable offence for many managers. Since October 5, Metropolis are working at a per-game common of conceding 2.79 huge possibilities on their purpose – solely Ipswich and Southampton have a worse return. Groups are charging previous them in transition at will and their per-game common of being dribbled previous determine of 10.36 is extraordinary – solely West Ham have a better common.
Guardiola’s facet have conceded two or extra targets in 9 of their final 10 matches, that means the 7/4 with Sky Guess on Manchester United following go well with and scoring not less than twice is the worth name in a winnable sport for Ruben Amorim if he will get his techniques proper to reveal Metropolis’s laughable make-up out of possession.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-3 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Manchester United to attain not less than twice (7/4 with Sky Guess)
Chelsea vs Brentford, Sunday 7pm
Why aren’t Chelsea severe title contenders? It is a query I have been pondering as they’ve shortened dramatically into 6/1 with Sky Guess for the Premier League crown. The inconsistency issue is excessive on that reasoning.
Groups that win titles win matches when not taking part in effectively. I am unsure this younger Chelsea facet are there but – there are going to be bumps within the highway, particularly with such an unreliable goalkeeper in Robert Sanchez between the sticks. That bump might be on the horizon right here.
Credit score to them they’ve managed to fend off a humorous end result for a lot of the season however one is perhaps due, which can assist dampen the expectations in the long term. Brentford have not misplaced to Chelsea in 5 matches, successful the final three at Stamford Bridge. Sure, Thomas Frank’s soccer is not fairly as savage on the highway however they’ll maintain no concern and Chelsea look a dangerous prospect at 1/3 with Sky Guess for the win, particularly at an odd kick-off time.
Brentford double likelihood at 9/4 it’s then.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Southampton vs Tottenham, Sunday 7pm
Tyler Dibling goes to win Southampton a sport on his personal quickly – he is that good.
And in fact, Russell Martin most likely wants him to because the Saints carry little attacking risk, bar the thrilling vibes that Dibling brings.
This is perhaps the night time the place Dibling delivers an enormous one. Defences do not come as beneficiant as Tottenham’s with out Micky van de Ven – he’s so instrumental to Ange Postecoglou’s type of soccer and his weak hamstrings will most likely be the large Aussie’s downfall as Spurs look flat, timid and a shell of their greatest in the meanwhile.
Dibling to attain in a house win at 9/1 with Sky Guess stands out.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Bournemouth vs West Ham, Monday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Andoni Iraola’s distinctive and hard-to-stop soccer is unquestionably going to land him a high job quickly sufficient – if a emptiness have been to come back up at Tottenham for instance, Iraola needs to be their primary precedence.
Within the final 44 video games, Iraola has Bournemouth because the sixth-best staff within the Premier League – that’s an outrageous achievement for a membership who have been solely promoted two seasons in the past. Simply have a look at how subsequent promoted groups have fared, it is no simple activity.
They’re a greater soccer staff in each division than West Ham, who as soon as once more seemed fairly stodgy and missing identification of their essential win over Wolves. The house win is skinny sufficient at 7/10 with Sky Guess however including below 4.5 targets into the combo will get us to a 5/4 shot that is smart contemplating the Cherries have seen below that line in 10 of their final 12 dwelling matches.