Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of supplies his perception throughout the Premier League weekend.
Many will probably be taking a look at Brighton’s worth right here of 17/20 with Sky Guess and get tempted in. Not me.
This stays a kind of tactical match-up the place taking up the Seagulls is a worthwhile long-term technique. Brighton, who’re on a run of only one win in 10 Premier League video games, may be sensible in transition and deadly when groups interact them excessive however when the opponent drops right into a compact mid-to-low block, that fluency can drain away.
Beneath Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton have received solely 4 of their final 18 video games the place the opposition play over 15 per cent of all their passes lengthy. Everton underneath David Moyes will tick that tactical field.
And the Toffees additionally carry extra menace on the break than they’re usually given credit score for, particularly from vast areas.
When matches develop into scrappy, Everton thrive, as proven of their win at Aston Villa. I just like the away win at 3/1 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Successful a Premier League title is much less about potential at this stage and extra about emotional administration and Arsenal are starting to appear like a crew fascinated by the implications slightly than the method.
This fixture falls at a clumsy second for this Arsenal crew as Elland Highway will poke at their insecurities in an atmosphere filled with tempo and aggression. If Arsenal have been taking part in with freedom, you’d again them to climate the storm and be reliable at 8/15 with Sky Guess to win this recreation. Proper now, I am not so positive.
The double probability on Leeds seems to be a very tempting angle at 6/4 with Sky Guess, overlaying each the win and the draw.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Wolves vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm
There is a feeling the market has barely misplaced its steadiness when assessing Bournemouth on this spot. Sure, the uncooked numbers bounce off the web page, 4.5 targets per away recreation this season is eye-catching, however context is all the pieces.
These matches have usually been performed on Bournemouth’s phrases with open video games, stretched buildings and opponents completely happy to commerce punches. This journey to Molineux seems to be a really totally different take a look at.
Wolves have quietly develop into one of many league’s greatest sides at dictating how video games are performed. Their defensive course of over current weeks has been wonderful and goalmouth motion has tended to dry up.
They power opponents into low-quality probabilities and squeeze video games into tight margins. That is precisely the sort of atmosphere Bournemouth wrestle to show into shootouts. This seems to be an amazing alternative to again a Wolves recreation to go underneath 2.5 targets at an odds-against worth of 11/10 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
Chelsea vs West Ham, Saturday 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
There is a card angle right here that feels prefer it’s slipped by way of the pricing cracks. This London derby has loads of needle baked into it anyway, however one particular match-up jumps off the web page: Marc Cucurella vs Jarrod Bowen.
Bowen is without doubt one of the best foul-winners within the Premier League when remoted one-on-one. He attracts contact cleverly, carries the ball aggressively and forces defenders into restoration challenges. The information backs it up. Bowen has already drawn 10 playing cards from opponents this season, greater than another participant within the league.
Marc Cucurella is 100/30 with Sky Guess to be carded
Now drop Cucurella into that situation. He is front-footed, emotional and likes to have interaction early. He would not shrink back from contact and is greater than keen to cease an assault if he feels uncovered – as showcased by back-to-back bookings in his final two begins at residence.
Cucurella to be carded at 100/30 with Sky Guess feels massive while you layer in Bowen’s observe file of forcing bookings and the chance of repeated defensive duels down Chelsea’s left.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Marc Cucurella to be carded (100/30 with Sky Guess)
Saturday thirty first January 5:00pm
Kick off 5:30pm
Liverpool vs Newcastle, Saturday 8pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
With Jeremie Frimpong and Conor Bradley each unavailable, Arne Slot may very well be pressured right into a workaround at right-back and Wataru Endo is the plain emergency choice after filling in there in midweek. That positional tweak fully modifications how his card worth needs to be considered.
Endo is aggressive, front-footed and much more comfy moving into duels than jockeying vast in area. Drop him right into a full-back position and also you’re asking him to defend giant areas in opposition to tempo and direct working. And Newcastle are one of many worst opponents you may face when studying on the job out vast.
If Endo does begin at right-back, he’ll be coping with Anthony Gordon, probably supported by Lewis Corridor, which is a nightmare match-up profile. Gordon drives straight at defenders and invitations contact. The numbers underline that menace as six totally different opponents have been carded in opposition to Gordon within the Premier League this season. Endo’s worth of 5/2 with Sky Guess to be carded, if he begins as full-back, is an actual runner.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Wataru Endo to be carded (5/2 with Sky Guess)
Aston Villa vs Brentford, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
That is a kind of costs that makes you cease, wash your face with chilly water and test you are studying it accurately.
Aston Villa to win at 21/20 with Sky Guess feels very beneficiant contemplating what this crew have been telling us for months.
Since going winless of their opening 5 Premier League video games, Villa have been nothing in need of elite. They’ve taken 43 factors from 18 matches, title-challenger output little question and no facet within the division have collected extra factors over that interval. That is not a brief sizzling streak both. It is a pattern of outcomes to respect. It is sustained excellence.
Brentford, in the meantime, stay a facet you wish to oppose on their travels. Solely backside membership Wolves have suffered extra away defeats within the Premier League this season (8). House win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Aston Villa to win (21/20 with Sky Guess)
Manchester United vs Fulham, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
There isn’t any higher attacker of a set-piece in world soccer than Harry Maguire. And in a Premier League season the place dead-ball conditions are being mined relentlessly for targets, Maguire goes to get his feed quickly sufficient.
Harry Maguire is 7/1 to attain vs Fulham
Again within the Manchester United beginning XI, Maguire is taking part in with an authority that has shone brightly within the final two performances. That confidence can translate to when he ventures ahead. Maguire’s old-school dominance stays a potent betting weapon and the 7/1 with Sky Guess for him to attain is price leaping on.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Harry Maguire to attain (7/1 with Sky Guess)
Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
There is a sturdy whiff of needle about this one. There’s lingering animosity within the air after the summer time authorized battles which resulted in Forest changing Palace within the Europa League and while you layer within the relegation context, feelings are prone to be working sizzling. That is normally when the cardboard markets come alive.
One match-up specifically seems to be primed to ship.
Neco Williams is predicted to lock horns with Ismaila Sarr, and that is a tricky afternoon for any full-back. Sarr is relentless in one-vs-one conditions, drives straight at defenders and forces choices at tempo. The information is damning from a defensive perspective as Sarr has drawn 21 playing cards from opponents for the reason that begin of final season, with solely Bruno Guimaraes answerable for extra within the Premier League.
Williams seems to be a wager materials at 100/30 with Sky Guess to be carded in an edgy recreation.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Neco Williams to be carded (100/30 with Sky Guess)
Tottenham vs Manchester Metropolis, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
There isn’t any escaping the unusual relationship between these two. Spurs have received seven of the final 12 conferences and Pep Guardiola has misplaced extra Premier League video games in opposition to Tottenham (8) than another opponent. On paper, that historical past screams Tottenham.
And while you see Spurs at 100/30 with Sky Guess, the temptation is clear. However Spurs at residence stay not possible to belief.
As a substitute of combating the uncertainty, the smarter route is to isolate a participant who can nonetheless revenue from Spurs doing a little issues proper and that is the place Dominic Solanke to attain at 11/4 with Sky Guess involves the celebration.
He is develop into one thing of a forgotten man, however Solanke is constructed to attain within the Premier League. Objectives in back-to-back video games is a reminder of his abilities.
There’s additionally a bigger-picture motivation edge at play. With England’s ahead depth in focus, Solanke is aware of he is combating to be a possible Harry Kane understudy this summer time for England on the World Cup.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Dominic Solanke is 11/4 to attain vs Man Metropolis
Sunderland vs Burnley, Monday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Sunderland stay the one Premier League crew unbeaten at residence this season. That’s wild.
However traits do snap and, in betting, timing when to step in to revenue from such a run ending is a key weapon to make use of when making an attempt to revenue on this recreation. It is 19/5 with Sky Guess to finish right here – a worth on a Burnley win that’s too massive to cross up.
The absence of Granit Xhaka is pivotal. We noticed precisely how fragile Sunderland may be with out their midfield reference level of their worst efficiency of the season away at West Ham. With out Xhaka’s management, management and talent to dictate tempo, Sunderland misplaced construction, misplaced composure and have been far too straightforward to play by way of.
Burnley want wins now. So their method will probably be optimistic and the market is dangling a really juicy carrot in direction of us relating to their win prospects.
