Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of referred to as 9 out of 10 match outcomes appropriate final weekend. He’s again to supply his perception…
Manchester United vs Newcastle, Boxing Day 8pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
With key attacking absences prone to have an effect on Manchester United’s output, United might be trying in direction of Matheus Cunha to offer the artistic and capturing menace.
Repeatable patterns in betting are one thing to respect and Cunha’s capturing profile is strictly that. No participant because the begin of final season has hit the goal extra usually from outdoors the field than Cunha (31), which tells you this is not variance, it is design. Much more encouraging, 4 of these outside-the-box pictures on the right track have are available in his final two video games, highlighting present confidence and freedom in his position.
Away from residence, Eddie Howe’s aspect concede 1.21 pictures from outdoors the field per recreation throughout their final 30 away league matches, the third-most of any Premier League workforce. That is a defensive concession profile that invitations precisely the kind of effort Cunha specialises in.
At Evens with Sky Guess for a number of Cunha pictures on the right track from outdoors the field, you are not asking for a aim, only a clear connection that troubles the goalkeeper from outdoors the realm.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester Metropolis, Saturday 12.30pm
Manchester Metropolis have gotten the punters’ buddies once more such has been their reliability. It is seven wins on the spin for Pep Guardiola’s boys who’ve the scent of Arsenal of their nostrils.
Guardiola is doing issues in a different way too. As soon as famed for his rotation, during the last eight gameweeks, he has used fewer gamers (12) in his beginning XI than another Premier League supervisor. That is offering some nice traits to develop throughout the props markets for us to comply with, together with the foul-drawing means of Mathues Nunes for Metropolis. He is lured in 9 fouls from the opposition in his final 5 begins and tops the charts for being Metropolis’s most fouled participant this season. He is 6/4 with Sky Guess to attract two or extra fouls once more.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
Taking the opposition pictures strains in opposition to Arsenal at The Emirates is not normally a betting concept to discover – however below Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton are usually not a traditional workforce when visiting the elite and the numbers show it.
While you dig into Brighton’s information in opposition to the Premier League’s finest at school, the image turns into very attention-grabbing for these of us who like a pictures wager when the costs are proper.
From 11 video games in opposition to Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester Metropolis below this supervisor’s watch, Brighton have averaged a really spectacular 15.8 pictures per recreation to a backdrop of a considerably wholesome 1.78 anticipated targets per recreation. That’s an outrageous output. That could be a title-contender likelihood creation from a aspect that is not sniffing wherever close to a title problem.
The markets are behind on this curve. We are able to soar on Brighton to register 10 or extra pictures at Evens with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
This can be a recreation the place it is laborious to get away from the numbers. Let’s hope they do not lie.
Throughout Brentford’s final 11 league video games on the Gtech, we’re seeing a hefty 3.9 targets per match, which instantly tells you two issues: they’re enjoying front-foot soccer and so they’re removed from watertight on the again.
Now add Bournemouth into the equation and the noise solely will get louder. Their away video games are averaging a exceptional 4.5 targets per match, which is elite-level volatility. Andoni Iraola has totally dedicated to an aggressive press on the street, and whereas it creates possibilities at one finish, it leaves them horribly uncovered on the different.
If you happen to mix each groups to attain and over 2.5 targets you conjure up a 4/5 shot to assault with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
That is the a part of the season the place expertise quietly tilts the steadiness. Fixtures come thick and quick, preparation time is proscribed and matches usually hinge on recreation administration somewhat than tactical perfection.
That is the place David Moyes stands out.
Throughout 58 Premier League matches managed between December 23 and January 8, his groups have posted a forty five per cent win ratio, which is a powerful return throughout one of the crucial demanding stretches of the calendar. It factors to a supervisor who understands find out how to simplify the sport when legs are drained and focus shifts from model to substance.
In a recreation seemingly determined by fantastic margins, backing expertise, significantly on the touchline, feels just like the wise angle with Evens on supply for an away win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Everton to win (Evens with Sky Guess)
While you’re enjoying at Anfield, lengthy spells with out the ball are inevitable. And when a workforce spends many of the recreation chasing shadows, the foul depend normally begins to climb.
That is the angle that makes Wolves attention-grabbing right here in a really troublesome betting warmth. Since Rob Edwards took cost, they have been averaging 16.8 fouls per 90 minutes – essentially the most of any workforce within the Premier League. Groups that anticipate to endure are inclined to foul extra, not out of malice, however frustration. And there’s loads of that within the Wolves camp.
Wolves to take advantage of fouls in every half at 13/8 with Sky Guess is value a glance.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
Since Nuno Espírito Santo took cost at West Ham, their matches have taken on a really clear profile. We’re seeing a median of precisely three targets per recreation, however the extra telling metric is the anticipated targets determine, which sits even greater at 3.3 per match.
That tells you these video games aren’t being inflated by freak finishes or pink playing cards, the probabilities are genuinely flowing at each ends.
Nuno’s West Ham are much more direct and really transition-heavy. They assault shortly, commit our bodies ahead and are comfortable to take dangers – one thing the house followers might be demanding on this vital and winnable residence fixture. The Hammers aren’t reliable sufficient to again outright at 8/5 with Sky Guess however the over 2.5 targets and each groups to attain combo at Evens is a worth with prospects.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Over 2.5 targets & BTTS (Evens with Sky Guess)
Chelsea vs Aston Villa, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1M!
Chelsea vs Aston Villa LIVE!
Aston Villa’s underlying numbers counsel a little bit of turbulence forward. However context issues and this journey to Chelsea is a kind of spots the place Villa stay very laborious to disregard regardless of the information warnings with 3/1 with Sky Guess on supply to make it 11 wins in a row.
Chelsea nonetheless wrestle to manage video games for lengthy durations, particularly in opposition to groups keen to assault house shortly. That is the place Morgan Rogers involves the occasion. Villa’s essential man does not want quantity, he wants moments – and Chelsea present loads of these.
A Villa win with Rogers on the scoresheet is not an excessive amount of to ask. It is landed in three of his final seven begins, that means the 8/1 with Sky Guess charges as a worth play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Sunderland vs Leeds, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
Sunderland vs Leeds United LIVE!
There are specific grounds you merely cannot ignore. The Stadium of Mild has develop into a spot the place construction, vitality and perception do the heavy lifting, and people qualities are inclined to journey very effectively by way of a season. It is now eight Premier League residence video games unbeaten, with 5 wins and three attracts and that consistency tells you a lot about what sort of workforce they’re.
With key gamers away at AFCON, there is a temptation to downgrade Sunderland. However this can be a aspect constructed on collective understanding and tactical readability. Take away a couple of items and the construction nonetheless holds – as proven of their wonderful efficiency at Brighton.
Leeds, in the meantime, have struggled badly on the street. Six defeats in eight away video games paints an image of a workforce that hasn’t but discovered a strategy to management matches outdoors acquainted environment.
The market is disrespecting the affect of the Stadium of Mild leading to us having the ability to again Sunderland on the draw no wager at 10/11 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Sunderland draw no wager (10/11 with Sky Guess)
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur LIVE!
Crystal Palace’s defence is creaking. It is now 10 targets conceded of their final 4 video games throughout all competitions. Earlier than that, over the earlier 12 matches they’d solely shipped eight targets in complete. The squad has been stretched past its limits and outcomes are actually struggling as such.
Spurs have had an eight-day break since their final recreation – their longest hole between video games this season. Thomas Frank is a process-focused, hands-on coach that wants coaching time to implement his concepts – one thing he isn’t had the posh of this season. And though Frank’s workforce have been one of the crucial impotent groups within the Premier League this season from an attacking perspective, there’s high quality in that ahead line to feast on a Palace defensive course of that’s providing up extra presents than normal. The away win at 11/5 with Sky Guess is a contact beneficiant.
