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Japan’s finance minister has publicly recognized the nation’s greater than $1tn holdings of US Treasuries as a “card” in its commerce negotiations with the Trump administration, in a uncommon baring of tooth by America’s closest ally in Asia.
Talking throughout a tv interview on Friday, Katsunobu Kato was requested whether or not Japan would use its conventional stance as a non-seller of Treasuries as a software in commerce talks with Washington.
“It does exist as a card,” mentioned Kato, including that “whether or not we use that card is a different decision”.
Japanese holders, together with the federal government, personal $1.13tn of Treasuries, the most important hoard held by a overseas nation.
There isn’t a suggestion that Tokyo is contemplating any gross sales of official Treasury holdings. However merchants mentioned that even the reference to such an motion as a “card” may add to volatility in a US bond market that has lurched violently since April 2 when Donald Trump introduced sweeping “reciprocal” tariffs on US commerce companions. Treasuries had been swept up in a wholesale sell-off of American property earlier than recovering a part of their losses after Trump paused the tariffs for 90 days.
Analysts mentioned that Kato’s feedback had been a pure response to the financial menace posed by Trump’s commerce conflict, one which Japan’s prime minister has described as a “national crisis”.
“This is a street fight: promising not to use one of your strongest, most brutal weapons would be both naive and reckless,” mentioned Nicholas Smith, chief Japan strategist at CLSA. “You don’t need to use the weapon: just brandish it.”
Japan’s standing as the largest overseas holder within the Treasury market may develop into even stronger as a negotiating software if China decides to weaponise its personal Treasury holdings in its commerce confrontation with the US.
Kato’s feedback, which break with an extended behavior of utmost warning on the topic, emerged simply hours after the most recent spherical of talks in Washington between Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa and his counterparts within the Trump administration, together with Treasury secretary Scott Bessent.
Talks at the moment are anticipated to accentuate in Might, with Akazawa indicating {that a} commerce deal could also be attainable in June. Diplomatic sources mentioned that the assembly had included dialogue of reducing supposed non-tariff obstacles to imports of US vehicles, in addition to measures Japan may take to cut back its massive commerce surplus with the US by increasing purchases of power and agricultural merchandise.
“The fact that the usually extremely guarded and diplomatic finance minister spoke up on national TV about what is arguably Japan’s biggest asset in dealing with America confirms the growing confidence of Japan’s elite in their dealings with the US,” mentioned Jesper Koll, a director on the on-line brokerage Monex Group.
Kato has been straight concerned within the negotiations with the US and held bilateral talks with Bessent within the final week of April. The finance minister emerged from that assembly with out providing particulars on particular calls for from the US aspect.