On the newest episode of Weekend Winners, the panel take purpose at Doncaster the place the Flat turf season will get really beneath method with the Lincoln Handicap on Saturday.
Host Kate Tracey is joined by At The Races’ Declan Rix and Sky Sports activities Racing’s senior type analyst Jamie Lynch to preview the weekend’s motion, with betting angles and insights suggested.
Situations on City Moor are at present good to mushy, with 22 runners set to battle it out for the distinguished William Hill Lincoln Handicap – the normal curtain-raiser for the turf Flat season.
Final 12 months’s winner Mr Professor is again to defend his title, whereas Wathnan Racing are nicely represented by means of Midnight Gun and Native Warrior. Thunder Run heads the marketplace for Clifford Lee and Karl Burke, with Rossa Ryan getting the journey on Orandi, who carries a 5lb penalty.
Kate Tracey
“The tendencies landed me again on Thunder Run. There’s the four-year-old angle in addition to his official ranking of 100 – 4 of the final eight winners have had that ranking, with the rest there or thereabouts. He is making his reappearance after ending fourth within the Balmoral when he was closely supported, overwhelmed simply three lengths.
“His best efforts have come on a better surface, I know he’s proven himself to be versatile but he does seem to prefer that quicker ground – hopefully that doesn’t count against him. The fact he was unraced as a two-year-old would suggest he’s got plenty more to come.”
Jamie Lynch
“There is a horse hidden in plain sight with the identical profile as Thunder Run, however with a development towards him. Whip Cracker just isn’t getting mentioned as a result of the overarching development with the Lincoln is it is both first outing or again from Dubai – these are the one methods you win a Lincoln within the final 25 years.
The Wolverhampton [trial] race has virtually turn out to be redundant however, for those who have a look at it, Whip Cracker did so nicely to complete fourth in a messy race and all of the positives that noticed him despatched off 9/4 favorite are nonetheless in play. The winner that day was Image Of Mild beneath a superb journey from Jason Watson, whereas Whip Cracker bought caught too far again however nonetheless had the second-highest ending share pace within the race.
“Since that day, the yard has gone from operating at 10 per cent to 22 per cent, including a double at Chelmsford on Thursday. This is exactly the horse you look for in a Lincoln, sitting on some strong form lines including Bolster and Jayarebe. The Wolverhampton run has been held against him but I think he’d be a single-figure price if he was coming here straightaway. I’m thinking and hoping he’s a bit overpriced given the qualities that he brings to the table.
Declan Rix
“You in all probability need a 4 or five-year-old with a progressive profile so I am going with Thunder Run. A four-year-old this season, he is solely had six profession begins and I am hoping there’s somewhat bit extra to come back this 12 months. I simply cannot get his run in final season’s Balmoral out of my head – he did method an excessive amount of on mushy floor on the entrance finish and the winner’s ending pace share was 93 per cent.
“He clearly did way too much too soon with no cover up the stiff track when he was a three-year-old taking on his elders. If they can ration his speed a little better this time he could go well, and Karl Burke is pound for pound one of the best trainers in Europe and maybe the world.”
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