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Japan emerged on Tuesday as the primary main economic system to safe precedence tariff negotiations with Donald Trump, highlighting its standing as Washington’s largest creditor and investor and triggering a 7 per cent surge in Tokyo-listed shares.
The fairness market bounce, which just about absolutely reversed Monday’s broad collapse of Japanese shares, adopted a 25-minute dialog between the US president and Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, during which the leaders agreed to open negotiations.
After the decision, Trump posted on his Fact Social platform that Japan had handled the US “very poorly” on commerce. “They don’t take our cars, but we take MILLIONS of theirs. Likewise Agriculture, and many other ‘things.’ It all has to change, but especially with CHINA!!!”
Ishiba appointed his financial revitalisation minister Ryosei Akazawa as Japan’s chief negotiator for the talks, which officers in Tokyo anticipate to start out “very soon”, reflecting the nation’s want to guard its automotive trade, on which a major proportion of the economic system is constructed.
The US facet will probably be led by Treasury secretary Scott Bessent, together with US commerce consultant Jamieson Greer. Bessent mentioned on Fox Information on Monday that he “would expect Japan would get priority as they came forward very quickly”.
Akazawa instructed reporters on Tuesday that Bessent’s function as head of the US delegation steered the White Home “has a strong interest in areas he oversees”.
These remarks triggered expectations amongst buyers that along with the tariffs, negotiations would additionally give attention to the dollar-yen trade fee, which has emerged as a supply of competition for the Trump administration.
“The Bank of Japan is fiercely independent, but as Japan looks for a way to mitigate these steep tariffs, there will be pressure on it from the central government to accelerate interest rate hikes and send the yen higher,” mentioned Neil Newman, head of technique at Astris Advisory Japan.
Japan, which considers itself Washington’s closest ally in Asia, was surprised final week by Trump’s announcement of a 24 per cent tariff on its imports, along with the 25 per cent levy on autos. Ishiba has referred to as the measures a “national crisis” for Japan.
Analysts warned that the tariff burden can be disastrous for Japan, which — regardless of long-term funding in US-based manufacturing — earnings vastly from exports and depends on comparatively low-friction commerce.
Ishiba reminded Trump on Monday of his nation’s standing as the largest international investor within the US, and warned that the circulation of company funding was in danger from the threatened levies.
Takeshi Yamaguchi, Japan economist at Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities, mentioned US-China tensions might doubtlessly function a tailwind for US-Japan negotiations.
“Japan will need to propose a package to reduce the deficit given the US administration views it as a problem,” mentioned Yamaguchi. He steered prospects corresponding to growing imports of US agricultural merchandise, defence tools and power, in addition to a dedication to co-ordinating with the US within the occasion of extra yen depreciation.
In an additional sign of US openness, Trump on Monday ordered a brand new nationwide safety assessment of Nippon Metal’s proposed $15bn takeover of Pennsylvania-based US Metal. The assessment, which will probably be led by the Treasury division, will present a advice to Trump inside 45 days.
Joe Biden had blocked the takeover in January in certainly one of his last acts in workplace. Trump had additionally signalled opposition to a full takeover.
However Nippon Metal executives have been negotiating with US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick on the framework and phrases of a deal during which the Japanese group would take a majority stake within the US steelmaker, in accordance with two folks acquainted with the matter.
Nippon Metal’s shares rose as a lot as 10.5 per cent on Tuesday morning earlier than paring features within the afternoon to commerce up 6.3 per cent.
In an announcement, the corporate mentioned it “looks forward to a timely resolution so that we can begin making our planned investments that will position US Steel to be a leading global steel producer”.