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Good morning. As Russia’s struggle in opposition to Ukraine enters its 1,000th day, G20 powers signalled weakening assist for Kyiv in a joint assertion issued in a single day that was stripped of criticisms of Moscow agreed by the identical international locations a 12 months in the past.
At this time, I report from Rio de Janeiro on the conspicuous absence of progress on the EU’s much-vaunted Mercosur commerce deal, and our Rome bureau chief has a dispatch on Giorgia Meloni’s struggle on surrogacy going worldwide.
Commerce present
You may need thought {that a} assembly of essentially the most highly effective leaders of the EU and South America, in Brazil, could be an ideal second to make progress on a long-stalled commerce deal between the 2 continents. You’d have been unsuitable.
Context: The EU has been negotiating a commerce cope with the Mercosur group of Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia for greater than twenty years. An settlement would unite a market of 780mn folks and save companies in Europe greater than €4bn yearly in tariffs.
Donald Trump’s election as US president and his threats to impose sweeping tariffs on imports has given the EU contemporary impetus to seal new commerce offers. However on the G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro — that includes the leaders of France, Germany, Italy and Spain, the EU presidents and all Mercosur members — it barely registered.
European Fee president Ursula von der Leyen raised it throughout her bilateral assembly with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on Sunday, however it was not a subject in the course of the varied bilateral conferences and casual chats yesterday, officers briefed on the talks stated.
It doesn’t assist that EU home politics has delayed the formal swearing-in of von der Leyen for a second time period as fee president, and the set up of her new commerce commissioner. Officers yesterday stated that was the precedence, and that vital progress on the deal would in all probability solely be seen in December.
EU negotiators met their Latin American counterparts in Brasília in September, urged on by 11 European capitals to strike a deal that could possibly be put to the bloc’s member states for a vote of approval. Technical discussions have been ongoing, officers stated.
Proponents say that the deal will permit the EU to compete with main Chinese language funding, restate the bloc‘s free-trade and multilateral principles in the face of Trump’s arrival, and ship a message to the incoming president.
That stated, the failure to make use of the Rio summit to make progress on the deal fits French President Emmanuel Macron, its largest critic. He believes it should trigger environmental injury and topic farmers to unfair competitors.
But when a deal is struck with Mercosur after which put to a vote of EU capitals, a majority can outvote Macron. No shock, then, that his international minister Jean-Noël Barrot vented yesterday that the settlement was “unacceptable as it stands, for democratic reasons”.
Chart du jour: Hearth at will
US President Joe Biden’s authorisation for Ukraine to launch restricted strikes into Russia’s Kursk area utilizing US-made Atacms long-range missiles has upped the strain on European allies to comply with go well with.
Extraterritorial
Surrogacy is now thought of a “universal crime” in Italy, leaving dozens of {couples} present process the method overseas in anxious limbo, writes Amy Kazmin.
Context: Surrogacy has been unlawful in Italy since 2004, punishable by as much as two years in jail and fines of as much as €600,000. However Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s right-wing authorities is decided to cease Italians from having kids by way of surrogacy even in international jurisdictions the place the observe is authorized.
Below the cruel new regulation that got here into drive yesterday, Italians whose infants are carried by a surrogate anyplace on this planet might withstand two years in jail, and fines of as much as €1mn.
However the combat over the difficulty isn’t over but.
Legal professionals from the Luca Coscioni Affiliation, an organisation that works on human rights points in medical care and scientific analysis, have vowed to problem the regulation.
“We are ready to defend all couples damaged by this unjust and unreasonable law,” the affiliation stated, vowing to battle in courts to “reestablish an opportunity offered by science”.
The affiliation says it has obtained pleas for assist from round 50 {couples} at varied phases of the surrogacy course of, from preliminary paperwork to amassing reproductive cells or really awaiting the births.
Amongst them are same-sex {couples} looking for to have kids and heterosexual {couples} the place, as an illustration, the girl can’t carry a baby resulting from severe sickness.
Meloni, who believes solely heterosexual {couples} ought to have kids, has prior to now focused LGBT+ households. Her authorities argues the surrogacy regulation cracks down on “procreation tourism” and protects ladies from exploitation.
Whereas the brand new guidelines don’t apply retroactively, the destiny of households now going via the surrogacy course of stays ambiguous.
What to look at at present
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EU defence ministers meet.
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EU ministers for basic affairs meet.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addresses European parliament, at 11am.
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