SEOUL — South Korea’s president vowed on Thursday to reply to North Korea’s deployment of troops to Russia, together with by doubtlessly supplying offensive weapons to Ukraine.
Seoul is not going to “sit idle” within the face of a North Korean “provocation that threatens global security beyond the Korean Peninsula and Europe,” South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol informed reporters in Seoul, after a summit assembly with visiting Polish President Andrzej Duda.
Yoon’s remarks comply with Protection Secretary Lloyd Austin’s assertion Wednesday that the US has proof of North Korea’s deployment of troops to Russia.
Austin didn’t specify what the proof was, however stated if North Korean troops had been to combat for Russia, it will be a “very, very serious issue.”
South Korea’s intelligence chief informed lawmakers Wednesday that North Korea has despatched 3,000 troops, together with particular forces, to Russia for coaching, and that the North plans to extend that quantity to 10,000 by December.
The deployment of North Korean troops might add to considerations that the struggle dangers spilling over and affecting tensions in Asia, from the Korean Peninsula to the Taiwan Strait.
South Korea’s intelligence company stated final week that North Korea had despatched greater than 13,000 containers of artillery, missiles and different standard weapons to Russia since August 2023. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned earlier this month that North Korea is “no longer just about transferring weapons” however personnel too to assist Russian forces.
President Yoon pledged help for extra South Korean weapons gross sales to Poland, together with the sale of $7 billion price of K2 tanks. To this point, South Korea has helped Ukraine by offering arms to the US and Ukraine’s neighbors, however he stated that would change.
“We have had a principle of not directly supplying lethal weapons” to combatants, he informed reporters, “but we can be more flexible and review the policy depending on North Korea’s military activities.”
Even when they do combat on the entrance traces, analysts consider North Korean troops will probably be relegated to a supporting position within the struggle.
Lee Ho-ryung, a researcher on the Korea Institute for Protection Analyses, a authorities suppose tank in Seoul, says North Korean troops might be despatched to put on down Ukraine’s offensive into Russia’s Kursk area.
The North Koreans will probably be put “in charge of security and such at first. But as time goes by, and with training, they may be able to support Russian operations,” Lee says. “Then, it is expected that there will be many casualties during that process.”
South Korean Protection Minister Kim Yong-hyun informed lawmakers Thursday that North Korean troops “are assessed to be mere cannon fodder mercenaries.” North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, he added, “has sold his people’s army for an illegal war of aggression.”
North Korean state media have made no point out of deploying troops to Russia, and the South’s intelligence company says North Korea could also be sequestering relations of troops despatched to Russia, presumably to quell home discontent on the deployment.
Even when the North Korean deployment has restricted navy worth, analysts say it sends necessary messages to main powers.
North Korea has named Russia as its high international coverage precedence, and in June, signed a treaty, ratified by Russia’s parliament on Thursday, which permits for mutual help if both nation comes beneath assault. Deploying troops might be seen as cementing that deal.
For Ukraine, pointing to North Korean intervention strengthens the Ukrainian authorities’s appeals for Western navy support. South Korea’s suggestion that it might arm Ukraine is music to Kyiv’s ears, argues Yoon Sukjoon, a senior analysis fellow on the Korea Institute for Maritime Technique, and a retired South Korean navy captain.
“South Korea saying: ‘We will now stand on the U.S. side and sell offensive weapons to Ukraine’ helps Ukraine,” he says, “and I think that’s ultimately what Ukraine wanted to get from President Zelenskyy’s disclosure” of the North Korean deployment.
That said, Yoon and other analysts believe South Korea will respond cautiously to any North Korean troop deployment, to keep Russia from giving North Korea the military assistance that it seeks as a reward for sending troops.
Moscow has warned Seoul not to get involved in Ukraine. “It’s vital to consider the results for the safety of South Korea” if it entered the battle in Ukraine, Russian International Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova stated Wednesday. “The Russian Federation will react harshly to any steps that will pose a risk to the safety of the nation and its residents.”
Se Eun Gong contributed to this report from Seoul.