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Italy’s Campi Flegrei supervolcano is stirring. May this seismic large quickly erupt?
The Tycoon Herald > World > Italy’s Campi Flegrei supervolcano is stirring. May this seismic large quickly erupt?
World

Italy’s Campi Flegrei supervolcano is stirring. May this seismic large quickly erupt?

Tycoon Herald
By Tycoon Herald 14 Min Read Published November 25, 2025
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Aerial view of the densely inhabited space of Pozzuoli, situated throughout the Campi Flegrei volcanic space. Over half one million folks stay on this area, which is repeatedly monitored as a result of ongoing volcanic exercise.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

POZZUOLI, Italy — In Greek and Roman mythology, the Campi Flegrei volcano is depicted because the opening to the underworld.

Its prehistoric eruptions blocked out the solar, turning summer time into winter and protecting Europe and Russia in thick volcanic ash. Now this highly effective seismic large close to Naples is stirring once more, shaking the bottom in a means that scientists say it hasn’t for hundreds of years.

“Two of the most recent earthquakes are the strongest we’ve ever seen,” stated Giovanni Macedonio, the director of the Nationwide Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology in Naples. Earthquakes in March and June this yr attributable to the Campi Flegrei pressured folks “to evacuate and there are tens of families that can’t return to their homes because of the damage.”

Giovanni Macedonio, geophysicist and research director at INGV, one of the scientists of the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology engaged in the continuous monitoring of the Campi Flegrei Caldera, working at a computer station in the laboratory: 'This seismicity is a phenomenon of volcanic origin. Beneath the Campi Flegrei, at a shallow depth between 1 and 3 km, there is a hydrothermal system: fractured rock with water that is heated by deep gases rising from magma about 10 km below. This high-temperature steam, around 1000 degrees, heats the reservoir, pressurizes the hydrothermal system. This process produces degassing, ground uplift, and earthquakes.'

Giovanni Macedonio (proper) is the director of the Nationwide Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology in Naples. He oversees the realm and screens seismic exercise from an observatory.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

For everybody to outlive an eruption, over half one million folks must be evacuated from an space that Italian authorities have marked the “red zone” across the Campi Flegrei’s eight-mile vast crater. Right here, Macedonio says, “there really are no countermeasures to protect yourself” from the pyroclastic stream of volcanic particles and ash — super-heated to some 1,472 levels Fahrenheit — that may cowl terrain at a velocity between 30 and 60 miles per hour.

The Campi Flegrei volcano is taken into account a “national threat” for the “explosive” fashion of its eruptions, which, scientists consider might create an eruptive column — a sort of cloud of mud and ash — that might rise some 18 miles into the sky and unfold on the wind. When that column of mud and ash ultimately falls, its weight may even collapse roofs of houses.

On the observatory Macedonio oversees in Naples, a big purple cellphone connects on to the civil safety headquarters in Rome. The road is examined twice a day.

The INGV’s direct-line red telephone, used to communicate with the National Civil Protection, is a crucial tool for emergency coordination. Its functionality is tested three times a day to ensure that communication is always ready in case of volcanic or seismic alerts

A purple cellphone at an observatory monitoring seismic exercise in Naples connects on to the civil safety headquarters in Rome. The road is examined twice a day.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

Vesuvius — the perfect identified volcano on this space, whose pyroclastic stream froze in time the traditional Roman metropolis of Pompeii — rises to the east of Naples. Hans Christian Andersen, after witnessing an eruption in 1834, described the lava as “colossal, fallen stars.”

However the reality is it is the a lot much less seen Campi Flegrei, or Phlegrean Fields (from the Greek phlegraios for “fiery”), underground, that has the potential to be devastating. It is because as we speak, lots of of hundreds of individuals stay proper on prime of this volcano — within the eight-mile-wide crater left by previous eruptions.

The crater of the Solfatara with Mount Vesuvius in the background. The Solfatara of Pozzuoli and Mount Vesuvius are both part of the Campanian volcanic system, although they belong to different types of volcanic structures. Solfatara is part of the Campi Flegrei caldera, known for ground uplift, seismic activity, and degassing, while Vesuvius is a classic cone volcano, famous for its catastrophic eruption that destroyed Pompeii.

The crater of the Solfatara with Mount Vesuvius within the background. The Solfatara crater of Pozzuoli and Mount Vesuvius are each a part of the Campanian volcanic system, though they belong to several types of volcanic constructions. Solfatara is a part of the Campi Flegrei caldera, identified for floor uplift, seismic exercise and degassing, whereas Vesuvius is a basic cone volcano, well-known for its catastrophic eruption that destroyed Pompeii.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

“All of us know we are living in a completely seismic area,” stated Naples resident Maddalena Desario, whose neighborhood is located on the rim of the Campi Flegrei caldera.

Within the historic metropolis of Pozzuoli, which sits within the caldera, vacationers observe a information via winding, slim alleyways. From a hilltop, they appear out over a curving bay — the ocean glowing within the sunshine underneath an intense blue sky, and the island of Capri, playground of the wealthy, within the distance.

However this immense magnificence belies the peril right here. Through the greatest volcanic eruption, some 39,000 years in the past, the Campi Flegrei shot out 72 cubic miles of molten rock, in response to Macedonio of the Nationwide Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology. World temperatures plummeted, and everything of what’s now Europe, in addition to components of Russia, had been lined in volcanic ash. Some scientists have advised the eruption might have contributed to the ultimate disappearance of the Neanderthals.

A group of visitors takes part in a guided tour of the Rione Terra in Pozzuoli. The Rione Terra, the city’s oldest historic district, sits on a promontory overlooking the port. Its narrow streets, ancient buildings, and historic squares offer a glimpse into the city’s long and rich past, reflecting centuries of urban life in this remarkable coastal area. The district was evacuated on March 2, 1970, due to bradyseism events, and its inhabitants never returned to their expropriated homes, being relocated to neighboring municipalities

Guests on a guided tour of the Rione Terra historic quarter in Pozzuoli look out onto the ocean.

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Valerio Muscella for NPR

Consultants say an eruption as we speak wouldn’t happen on that scale. Nonetheless, it might nonetheless be massive sufficient to wreak havoc on thousands and thousands of lives and halt air journey throughout Europe, even perhaps additional across the globe. So Macedonio and his crew monitor its each grumble and tremor.

On the observatory in Naples, screens on each wall present the seismic exercise of all of the volcanoes within the area. On the day NPR visited in September, a loud alarm sounded throughout the room, signaling that an earthquake had been detected. The scientists moved quick to evaluate the situation and energy of the tremor and ship the knowledge to the Italian public security authorities.

It was within the Campi Flegrei. And this isn’t uncommon. Final yr, the scientists logged some 2,500 earthquakes attributable to this volcano in a single month. And now the tremors are intensifying in magnitude: June noticed an unprecedented 4.6-magnitude earthquake — sufficient to crack partitions and ship folks fleeing from their houses.

These earthquakes are coupled with bradyseism — a phenomenon wherein the bottom swells, slowly rising beneath folks’s ft. On the previous port in Pozzuoli, boats now stand nestled in lengthy grass, marooned on new land that has risen out of the ocean. Historic Roman columns have fossils of mollusks midway up, exhibiting how they had been as soon as underwater.

Ancient Roman ruins are seen surrounded by modern buildings.

The columns of Pozzuoli’s Temple of Serapis have fossils of mollusks midway up, proof that they had been as soon as underwater.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

It is as if this large volcano had been respiratory — the bottom rising and reducing over many years, with each breath. Earlier than a final main eruption some 15,000 years in the past, scientists say the bottom rose about 85 ft. Now it is steadily rising once more — up by 4.6 ft since 2005, and the speed at which it is swelling is getting sooner.

“One thing that you learn very soon is that we do not have control. Nature has the control,” stated Warner Marzocchi, a professor of geophysics and pure danger on the College of Naples, Federico II. “These kind of volcanic systems are used to having phases of unrest like this one that we are observing. The biggest scientific challenge is to understand what is driving this unrest.”

To fulfill that problem, Marzocchi and his crew — together with Stanford College and the Nationwide Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology — are utilizing synthetic intelligence to construct what they and different consultants say is essentially the most correct image but. The mannequin identifies hundreds of earthquakes not beforehand detectable with current know-how. The analysis expanded the entire seismicity recorded by monitoring stations within the final three years from about 12,000 to greater than 54,000 earthquakes within the Campi Flegrei alone.

The developments assist scientists make extra educated guesses concerning the possible magnitude of future quakes and study extra about why the Campi Flegrei has proven growing exercise since 2005. Marzocchi says the information recommend that, for now, the tremors are extra the results of gases pushing superheated water up via the earth, slightly than magma rising. Scientists hope this implies an eruption just isn’t essentially imminent. However they can’t know for certain.

Marzocchi says the chance of an eruption remains to be “not zero” and due to this fact it’s vital to stay vigilant.

In Pozzuoli in September, guests wandered into historic buildings open to the general public for a recent artwork exhibition. Down one cobbled road, native artist Pina Testa stood outdoors her studio. Her work embody dozens of works exhibiting volcanic eruptions — the large plumes of ash depicted in a vibrant array of colours.

Pina Testa is an artist who lives and works in Pozzuoli. Her works feature volcanoes, fire and the local natural environment

Pina Testa is an artist who lives and works in Pozzuoli. Her works depict volcanoes, hearth and the native pure surroundings.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

“Fire, and everything that is the movement of the earth, speaks to the soul, and all this comes out in my paintings,” stated Testa, explaining the inspiration she finds within the volcano. She laughed: “Sometimes when the earth quakes, I feel like it is right under my studio” — which she stated is to date undamaged.

She admitted there’s even a sort of affection for this lethal companion. She remembers as a baby the gatherings with neighbors on the road as they might evacuate their houses throughout an earthquake – typically in the midst of the evening. It was a time to talk, to attach, and even share a pizza.

Within the Nineteen Seventies and Eighties, tens of hundreds of residents had been relocated from the Rione Terra, the historic district of Pozzuoli, in pressured evacuations by the authorities, who believed the sharp upswell within the floor from bradyseism may very well be an indication of an imminent eruption. Police and navy pressured folks from their houses. They had been relocated to new residences, and this oldest quarter of the town was seized completely by the state. Right now, vacationers wander the still-empty streets of this quaint hilltop district, whose stunning and historic buildings stand largely uninhabited.

Nonetheless, throughout Pozzuoli and the Campi Flegrei area, total communities stay. The volcano and its seismicity have all the time been a part of them, Testa defined. The true residents of Pozzuoli stay in concord with the volcano, she stated. They’ll get scared typically, however by no means terrified. And they don’t go away.

A view of Pozzuoli: in the foreground, the Church of Santa Maria delle Grazie; in the background, the waterfront, the marinas, and the hills of the Campi Flegrei, with the sea surrounding the city.

For everybody to outlive a volcanic eruption, over half one million folks must be evacuated from an space that Italian authorities have marked the “red zone” across the volcano’s eight-mile-wide crater.

Valerio Muscella for NPR


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Valerio Muscella for NPR

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TAGGED:CampieruptFlegreigiantItalysseismicstirringsupervolcano
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