Tony Blair speaks onstage through the “Government & AI” panel dialogue on day one in every of SXSW London 2025 in June.
Jack Taylor/Getty Pictures for SXSW London
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Jack Taylor/Getty Pictures for SXSW London
LONDON — In President Trump’s 20-point plan to finish the battle in Gaza, just one identify seems apart from his personal: Tony Blair.
Blair, as prime minister of the UK, helped negotiate a 1998 peace deal ending many years of sectarian combating in Northern Eire. He later served as a Center East peace envoy for the worldwide neighborhood, and now runs a London suppose tank.
However the 72-year-old former politician comes with baggage: He is reviled within the U.Okay. and internationally for his 2003 resolution to hitch President George W. Bush’s U.S.-led invasion of Iraq.
That battle led to some 200,000 civilian deaths and triggered a few of the greatest avenue protests in fashionable British historical past. It was a army quagmire, and contributed to a precipitous drop in Blair’s approval ranking, in keeping with Ipsos polling all through his decade in energy. No different prime minister in fashionable British historical past skilled such a steep plunge in reputation.
After a U.Okay. authorities inquiry concluded in 2016 that Blair’s resolution to assist invade Iraq was made rapidly, on the foundation of flawed intelligence, he provided a tearful public apology, saying he felt “more sorrow, regret and apology than you may ever know or can believe.”
Now, practically two years into the devastating Gaza battle, Blair seems poised to forged his lot with one other U.S. president — who’s promising a greater end result in Gaza than there was in Iraq.
What position Blair may play in Gaza
Trump’s new plan for Gaza features a “Board of Peace,” chaired by the U.S president himself. However he instructed reporters the board would additionally embody “very distinguished leaders” from different nations. The one particular person he named was Blair.
In an announcement, Blair referred to as Trump’s plan “bold and intelligent.”
He is been concerned in talks about Gaza’s future for some time already. An official near Blair, who wasn’t licensed to discuss the matter, instructed NPR that the previous U.Okay. prime minister visited the White Home in August for talks about Gaza with Trump’s son-in-law and adviser Jared Kushner and different figures.
Employees from Blair’s suppose tank have additionally reportedly been concerned in talks about plans to rework Gaza right into a “Trump Riviera” with a producing zone named after Elon Musk.
In February, Trump shared an AI-generated video of his plans, together with photos of a glitzy resort referred to as “TRUMP GAZA.”
Blair’s suppose tank refused to remark to NPR about these plans or its involvement in them.
What Palestinians suppose
Palestinians weren’t consulted on Trump’s 20-point plan for Gaza, nor on Blair’s involvement in Gaza’s future.
On Wednesday, Omar Awadallah, a prime Palestinian official, instructed NPR he “welcomes” Trump’s efforts, however desires additional dialogue on the plan’s particulars.
“All the Palestinians should welcome the efforts of Mr. Trump, because we see it as an opportunity to end the bloodshed in Gaza,” mentioned Awadallah, the Palestinian Authority’s deputy overseas affairs minister. “About the transitional government or transitional committee, I think we need work on this to change the dynamics and to enter into a dialogue on the details.”
The plan would require Hamas to launch all Israeli hostages at first of a ceasefire, earlier than Israel commits to any a part of the deal. It doesn’t lay out a transparent timeline for Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, as an alternative linking that to disarmament.
Trump instructed reporters Tuesday he would give Hamas “three or four days” to reply to his plan.
A member of the Hamas political bureau, Husam Badran, has already been quoted as saying he considers Blair to be “the devil’s brother” and denounced his involvement.
“Tony Blair is not a welcome figure in the Palestinian cause, and therefore any plan associated with this person is an ill omen for the Palestinian people,” Badran was quoted as telling Al Jazeera.
Worldwide figures who’ve labored with Palestinians are additionally skeptical. The United Nations’ particular rapporteur for the occupied Palestinian Territories, Francesca Albanese, wrote on social media: “Tony Blair? Hell no. Hands off Palestine. Shall we meet in The Hague perhaps?”
That is a reference to the situation of the Worldwide Prison Court docket within the Netherlands.
A few of Blair’s fellow Brits say the identical
Blair’s choices about Iraq nonetheless taint his popularity at dwelling.
Polling by the U.Okay. firm YouGov exhibits 43% of Britons dislike Blair, in comparison with 25% who’ve a constructive opinion and 26% who’re impartial.
This week, when the BBC requested British author and political idea lecturer Ash Sarkar in regards to the significance of Blair’s involvement in Gaza plans, she replied: “It’s because Satan was unavailable.”
In a Guardian op-ed, Josh Paul, who labored in postwar Iraq and as a U.S. safety coordinator in Israel and the Palestinian Territories, wrote that he “could not square” Blair’s visions for each these areas with the truth he noticed firsthand on the bottom. Paul predicts what he calls a “Kushner-Blair proposal” for Gaza can be seen as a “western occupational government” imposed on the Center East.
“It will not work, and it should not be trusted,” Paul writes.
Blair’s prior expertise in battle zones
Blair declined NPR’s request for an interview. His former political secretary, John McTernan, says Blair is expert at tuning out naysayers and the previous prime minister is assured he can assist Gaza.
“He will never back off of something because people say it’s difficult,” McTernan says. “He settled an 800-year conflict between Britain and Ireland. So he’s a man who’s actually delivered a peace process and knows all the issues around negotiating and delivering.”
As prime minister of the UK from 1997 to 2007, Blair participated in peace negotiations in Northern Eire, part of the U.Okay. that noticed many years of sectarian violence between Roman Catholics and Protestants, often called the Troubles. In 1998, Blair signed the Good Friday Settlement, largely ending that battle.
After leaving workplace, he served for practically eight years as a particular envoy for the Quartet — america, U.N., European Union and Russia — making an attempt to barter Israeli-Palestinian peace. He was not profitable.
Over time, he is run a number of companies and non-profits — together with Tony Blair Associates, the Tony Blair Sports activities Basis, the Tony Blair Religion Basis, the Tony Blair Africa Governance Initiative — most of which have since been folded right into a London suppose tank which he based in 2016 and likewise named after himself.
All of that has largely been overshadowed by Iraq. Many around the globe nonetheless see Blair as a polarizing determine.
On the streets of Baghdad this week, residents reacted to information of Blair’s position in one other Center East mission.
“He was one of the main contributors to the destruction of Iraq, and he also came out and admitted that he contributed to its destruction,” a person named Hassan Abdullah instructed Reuters. “So it’s not a good choice to have him as a peacemaker for the Gaza Strip.”
NPR producer Fatima Al-Kassab contributed to this report.
